Norilsk vs Ryazan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4 OT
14/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Match Stats

Official Live

Chances of winning


Norilsk
34.3%
Draw
23.7%
Ryazan
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.2% 25% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1% 26.9% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Ryazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Norilsk that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ryazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Norilsk - Ryazan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (3.01)
    3.89
    (3.63)
    2.19
    (2.03)
    8.7%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
    What is the prediction for Norilsk - Ryazan?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Norilsk will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 2.
    • Norilsk is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ryazan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ryazan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Norilsk has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 3:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Norilsk - Ryazan were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Ryazan - Norilsk 3:1
    14.08.2025 Ryazan - Norilsk 2:3
    25.01.2025 Norilsk - Ryazan 2:3
    27.10.2024 Ryazan - Norilsk 4:3
    27.12.2023 Ryazan - Norilsk 4:5
    Latest results of Norilsk
    12.01.2026 Norilsk - AKM 6:2
    23.12.2025 Bars Kazan - Norilsk 1:4
    21.12.2025 CSK VVS Samara - Norilsk 3:4
    19.12.2025 Chelny - Norilsk 4:2
    Latest results of Ryazan
    11.01.2026 Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Ryazan 2:3
    07.01.2026 Dynamo-Altay - Ryazan 1:3
    26.12.2025 Ryazan - Buran Voronezh 2:1
    24.12.2025 Ryazan - Rostov 0:1
    VHL Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ 56341147196:12294
    2HC Yugra ✔ 5534867151:8590
    3Almetyevsk ✔ 5531699196:11183
    4Khimik54295713161:11175
    5Magnitka Magnitogorsk54247815160:12070
    6Omskie Krylia56267320146:12269
    7Gornyak55238717161:13469
    8Perm552012518133:13969
    9Izhevsk55283618139:12268
    10CSK VVS54238617153:12568
    11Ryazan54257418146:12868
    12Dizel55255817139:12268
    13Chelmet Chelyabinsk54255717155:14467
    14Krasnoyarsk571811820134:13866
    15Torpedo Gorky55237619156:12566
    16Rubin Tyumen561812620136:12766
    17Bars552241217116:12464
    18Toros Neftekamsk55216820127:13762
    19Kurgan55197722129:13059
    20Dinamo St. Petersburg55215623146:14158
    21Zvezda Moscow54224523119:12557
    22AKM551213624124:15356
    23Tambov56177626136:15254
    24SKA-VMF St. Petersburg56194726109:14453
    25Orsk5417392590:14349
    26Olympia5412892595:14049
    27Dyn. Altay56127928120:17247
    28Buran Voronezh56146729117:16647
    29Kristall Saratov54163629116:15444
    30Chelny55127333125:17241
    31HK Norilsk56135533111:15841
    32HC Rostov56123932111:16739

          Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)