Result
3:4 OT
14/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Norilsk 34.3% | Draw 23.7% | Ryazan 42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Ryazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Norilsk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ryazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Norilsk - Ryazan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.68 ↓ (3.01) |
3.89 ↑ (3.63) |
2.19 ↑ (2.03) |
8.7% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for Norilsk - Ryazan?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Norilsk will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 2.
- Norilsk is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ryazan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ryazan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Norilsk has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 3:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Norilsk won against Ryazan?
Norilsk has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ryazan won against Norilsk?
Ryazan has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Norilsk - Ryazan were as follows:
09.11.2025
Ryazan
-
Norilsk
3:1
14.08.2025
Ryazan
-
Norilsk
2:3
25.01.2025
Norilsk
-
Ryazan
2:3
27.10.2024
Ryazan
-
Norilsk
4:3
27.12.2023
Ryazan
-
Norilsk
4:5
Latest results of Norilsk
VHL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ | 56 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 196:122 | 94 |
| 2 | HC Yugra ✔ | 55 | 34 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 151:85 | 90 |
| 3 | Almetyevsk ✔ | 55 | 31 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 196:111 | 83 |
| 4 | Khimik | 54 | 29 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 161:111 | 75 |
| 5 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 54 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 160:120 | 70 |
| 6 | Omskie Krylia | 56 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 146:122 | 69 |
| 7 | Gornyak | 55 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 161:134 | 69 |
| 8 | Perm | 55 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 133:139 | 69 |
| 9 | Izhevsk | 55 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 139:122 | 68 |
| 10 | CSK VVS | 54 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 153:125 | 68 |
| 11 | Ryazan | 54 | 25 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 146:128 | 68 |
| 12 | Dizel | 55 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 139:122 | 68 |
| 13 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 54 | 25 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 155:144 | 67 |
| 14 | Krasnoyarsk | 57 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 134:138 | 66 |
| 15 | Torpedo Gorky | 55 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 156:125 | 66 |
| 16 | Rubin Tyumen | 56 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 136:127 | 66 |
| 17 | Bars | 55 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 116:124 | 64 |
| 18 | Toros Neftekamsk | 55 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 127:137 | 62 |
| 19 | Kurgan | 55 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 129:130 | 59 |
| 20 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 55 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 146:141 | 58 |
| 21 | Zvezda Moscow | 54 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 119:125 | 57 |
| 22 | AKM | 55 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 24 | 124:153 | 56 |
| 23 | Tambov | 56 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 136:152 | 54 |
| 24 | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 56 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 109:144 | 53 |
| 25 | Orsk | 54 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 90:143 | 49 |
| 26 | Olympia | 54 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 95:140 | 49 |
| 27 | Dyn. Altay | 56 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 120:172 | 47 |
| 28 | Buran Voronezh | 56 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 117:166 | 47 |
| 29 | Kristall Saratov | 54 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 116:154 | 44 |
| 30 | Chelny | 55 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 33 | 125:172 | 41 |
| 31 | HK Norilsk | 56 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 111:158 | 41 |
| 32 | HC Rostov | 56 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 111:167 | 39 |
Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)