Result
08/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Tambov 48.7% | Draw 23.2% | Norilsk 28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tambov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Tambov - Norilsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.93 ↑ (1.77) |
4.05 ↓ (4.2) |
3.36 ↓ (3.81) |
6.3% (6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Tambov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Tambov has had a series of home games.
- Tambov could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 2.8:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tambov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 2:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tambov won against Norilsk?
Tambov has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Norilsk won against Tambov?
Norilsk has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tambov - Norilsk were as follows:
16.09.2025
Norilsk
-
Tambov
2:3
02.02.2025
Tambov
-
Norilsk
2:3
17.10.2024
Norilsk
-
Tambov
4:3
26.11.2023
Tambov
-
Norilsk
2:3
13.11.2023
Norilsk
-
Tambov
1:4
Latest results of Norilsk
VHL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ | 59 | 37 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 212:127 | 100 |
| 2 | HC Yugra ✔ | 58 | 36 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 166:90 | 94 |
| 3 | Almetyevsk ✔ | 58 | 34 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 211:120 | 89 |
| 4 | Khimik ✔ | 58 | 31 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 172:120 | 79 |
| 5 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 58 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 171:130 | 76 |
| 6 | Ryazan | 58 | 27 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 155:134 | 75 |
| 7 | Izhevsk | 58 | 31 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 150:127 | 74 |
| 8 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 58 | 28 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 168:153 | 73 |
| 9 | Omskie Krylia | 58 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 156:124 | 73 |
| 10 | Gornyak | 58 | 24 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 171:140 | 73 |
| 11 | Dizel | 59 | 27 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 149:132 | 72 |
| 12 | CSK VVS | 58 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 158:136 | 71 |
| 13 | Krasnoyarsk | 60 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 21 | 140:143 | 70 |
| 14 | Rubin Tyumen | 58 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 | 142:129 | 70 |
| 15 | Perm | 58 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 136:148 | 70 |
| 16 | Torpedo Gorky | 58 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 163:134 | 70 |
| 17 | Bars | 58 | 23 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 124:134 | 67 |
| 18 | Toros Neftekamsk | 58 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 131:141 | 64 |
| 19 | Zvezda Moscow | 58 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 133:135 | 62 |
| 20 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 59 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 152:160 | 60 |
| 21 | Kurgan | 58 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 131:141 | 59 |
| 22 | AKM | 58 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 130:163 | 57 |
| 23 | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 59 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 115:151 | 56 |
| 24 | Tambov | 59 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 144:166 | 56 |
| 25 | Olympia | 58 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 100:149 | 53 |
| 26 | Orsk | 57 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 95:151 | 51 |
| 27 | Buran Voronezh | 60 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 128:174 | 51 |
| 28 | Dyn. Altay | 59 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 126:183 | 49 |
| 29 | Kristall Saratov | 58 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 128:167 | 48 |
| 30 | HK Norilsk | 59 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 116:163 | 45 |
| 31 | Chelny | 58 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 131:180 | 44 |
| 32 | HC Rostov | 60 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 117:176 | 43 |
Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Khimik is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)