KPRF vs Norilsky Nickel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3 penalties
22/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Russian Cup - Play Offs - Final

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', Rodriginho (G),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 21', Kudziev R. (G),
  • 25', Krikun S. (G),
  • 30', Shvedko D. (G),
  • 35', Guilherme J. (G),
  • 39', Antoshkin A. (G),
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),
  • 7, (Pen),
  • 7, (Pen),

Chances of winning


KPRF
49.9%
Draw
21.5%
Norilsky Nickel
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 21.5% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 22.1% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KPRF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KPRF's performance.
  • Norilsky Nickel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Norilsky Nickel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KPRF than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KPRF that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsky Nickel than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Norilsky Nickel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • KPRF - Norilsky Nickel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.27)
    4.3
    (4.25)
    3.22
    (2.4)
    8.4%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KPRF won 3.
    • Recent performances by KPRF have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Norilsky Nickel has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Norilsky Nickel has had a series of away games.
    • KPRF is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KPRF won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 66:50. (average 3.3:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, KPRF won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:22. (average 3.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KPRF - Norilsky Nickel were as follows:
    11.01.2026 Norilsky Nickel - KPRF 3:0
    10.01.2026 Norilsky Nickel - KPRF 2:3
    30.08.2025 KPRF - Norilsky Nickel 4:0
    29.08.2025 KPRF - Norilsky Nickel 3:4
    04.05.2025 KPRF - Norilsky Nickel 7:2
    Latest results of KPRF
    Latest results of Norilsky Nickel
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1TorpedoNovaja Generacija7 : 1, 4 : 1
    2YugraSintur Yekaterinburg6 : 4, 4 : 2
    3YekaterinburgIrAero3 : 2, 4 : 3
    4CPRFTZMS Tula4 : 2, 9 : 5
    5Norilsky NickelSibiryak4 : 2, 3 : 0
    6TyumenFakel-GTS5 : 6, 5 : 5
    7Kristall St. PetersburgLipetsk2 : 2, 4 : 3
    8UkhtaKuzbass Kemerovo5 : 2, 5 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1TorpedoYugra4 : 2, 2 : 3
    2YekaterinburgCPRF2 : 3, 1 : 3
    3Norilsky NickelFakel-GTS4 : 3, 4 : 1
    4Kristall St. PetersburgUkhta6 : 7, 4 : 6

    Semi-finals
    1TorpedoCPRF6 : 9, 8 : 6
    2Norilsky NickelUkhta8 : 3, 2 : 2

    Final
    1CPRFNorilsky Nickel4 : 3