Result
1:3
28/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Referee: Flores G. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | NWSL+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (363/444) | 80% (342/428) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 2.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (363/444) | 80% (342/428) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (19/31) | 50% (28/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (62/103) | 66% (71/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 10', Anderson J. ↓, Courtnall B. ↑,
- 20', 0 - 1, Pfeiffer A. ⚽, Collins S. (A),
- 30', 0 - 2, Barry K. ⚽, Girelli C. (A),
- 34', 0 - 3, Bailey D. ⚽, Pfeiffer A. (A),
- 41', Barry K. 🟨,
- 41', Schmidt S. ↓, Matsukubo M. ↑,
- 45+9', Ijeh E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Ijeh E. ↓, Betfort H. ↑,
- 56', Pfeiffer A. ↓, Lema K. ↑,
- 56', Wickenheiser C. ↓, Schlegel A. ↑,
- 56', Barry K. ↓, Gamero O. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 3, Matsukubo M. ⚽, Williams R. (A),
- 76', Lema K. 🟨,
- 79', Denton A. ↓, Moreau M. ↑,
- 79', Bailey D. ↓, Boade T. ↑,
- 89', Shiragaki U. ↓, Rauch F. ↑,
Chances of winning
North Carolina Courage
52.5% | Draw
26.2% | Bay FC
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Carolina Courage has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Carolina Courage's performance.Bay FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
North Carolina Courage - Bay FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.95) |
3.52 ↑
(3.17) |
4.3 ↑
(3.6) |
8.8%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for North Carolina Courage - Bay FC?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. North Carolina will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Bay will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, North Carolina is considered a favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina Courage won against Bay FC?
North Carolina Courage has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bay FC won against North Carolina Courage?
Bay FC has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina Courage - Bay FC were as follows:
17.10.2025
Bay FC
-
North Carolina Courage
1:4
19.04.2025
North Carolina Courage
-
Bay FC
0:1
19.10.2024
Bay FC
-
North Carolina Courage
1:0
13.09.2024
North Carolina Courage
-
Bay FC
1:1
Latest results of North Carolina Courage
NWSL Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Angel City W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Seattle Reign W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Portland Thorns W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Houston Dash W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Bay FC W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Orlando Pride W | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Denver Summit W | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Gotham W | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 | Utah Royals W | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | North Carolina Courage W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Washington Spirit W | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Kansas City Current W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 14 | Chicago W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 3 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Boston Legacy W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
