Result
1:4
17/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Referee: Verso M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Usa | NSWL+, NWSL+ app, SiriusXM FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 3.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (366/441) | 81% (316/389) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 3.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 3.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (366/441) | 81% (316/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (23/51) | 41% (14/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (82/110) | 65% (79/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 93% (14/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.43 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Matsukubo M. ⚽, Sanchez A. (A),
- 8', 0 - 2, Matsukubo M. ⚽, Speck M. (A),
- 24', Shepherd J. 🟨,
- 34', Malonson A. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 2, Hocking P. ⚽, Malonson A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Hocking P. ↓, Lema K. ↑,
- 46', Paulson C. ↓, Kundananji R. ↑,
- 46', Pickett K. ↓, Bebar H. ↑,
- 46', Shepherd J. ↓, Bailey D. ↑,
- 50', Matsukubo M. (Pen),
- 70', Sanchez A. ↓, O'Sullivan D. ↑,
- 70', Weatherholt D. ↓, Bell M. ↑,
- 70', Linnehan P. ↓, Lussi T. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 3, Koyama S. ⚽, Lussi T. (A),
- 75', Huff T. ↓, Anderson J. ↑,
- 79', Speck M. ↓, Vine C. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 4, Matsukubo M. ⚽,
- 86', Koyama S. ↓, Betfort H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bay FC
17.7% | Draw
24.8% | North Carolina Courage
57.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Bay FC - North Carolina Courage Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.7 ↑
(2.58) |
4.78 ↑
(3.19) |
2.06 ↓
(2.57) |
-15.5%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bay FC - North Carolina Courage?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bay (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).
- Recent form of Bay has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, North Carolina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Bay FC won against North Carolina Courage?
Bay FC has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina Courage won against Bay FC?
North Carolina Courage has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bay FC - North Carolina Courage were as follows:
19.04.2025
North Carolina Courage
-
Bay FC
0:1
19.10.2024
Bay FC
-
North Carolina Courage
1:0
13.09.2024
North Carolina Courage
-
Bay FC
1:1
Latest results of North Carolina Courage
NWSL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kansas City Current W ✔ | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 49:13 | 36 | 65 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W ✔ | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | Portland Thorns W ✔ | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 40 |
| 4 | Orlando Pride W ✔ | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 40 |
| 5 | Seattle Reign W ✔ | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | San Diego Wave W ✔ | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
| 7 | Racing Louisville W | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Gotham W ✔ | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35:25 | 10 | 36 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 37:39 | -2 | 35 |
| 10 | Houston Dash W | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 30 |
| 11 | Angel City W | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 27 |
| 12 | Utah Royals W | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
| 13 | Bay FC W | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 20 |
| 14 | Chicago W | 26 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 32:54 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Kansas City Current W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Washington Spirit W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Portland Thorns W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Orlando Pride W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Seattle Reign W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
San Diego Wave W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Gotham W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
