Seattle Reign vs North Carolina Courage – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NWSL Women
  • Referee: Arreguin E. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN 2
mexicoMexicoAzteca Deportes
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, NSWL+, NWSL+ app, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.230.88
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
39
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
73% (227/312)87% (494/570)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.230.88
xG on target (xGOT)
0.150.83
Total shots
39
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
27
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1518
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
73% (227/312)87% (494/570)
Long passes
41% (24/58)62% (46/74)
Passes in final third
50% (40/80)74% (115/156)
Crosses
17% (1/6)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.340.97
Throw-ins
2428
Fouls
1310
Tackles
63% (12/19)50% (8/16)
Duels won
3743
Clearances
2615
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.830.15
Goals prevented
-0.17-0.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Menti S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 57', 0 - 1, Betfort H. ,
  • 66', Mondesir N. , Adames E. ,
  • 67', Fishlock J. , McCammon A. ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Williams R. (Own goal),
  • 73', Matsukubo M. , Staude N. ,
  • 74', Betfort H. , Aline Gomes ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Dahlien M. G. , Menti S. (A),
  • 83', Dahlien M. G. , Crnogorcevic A. ,
  • 87', Weatherholt D. , Jacobs N. ,
  • 87', Williams R. , Speck M. ,
  • 90', Menti S. , Barnes L. ,
  • 90+1', Koyama S. , MacNab H. ,
  • 90+9', Barnes L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Seattle Reign
36.7%
Draw
28.4%
North Carolina Courage
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 30% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 31.1% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Seattle Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • North Carolina Courage has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Reign than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina Courage than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Seattle Reign - North Carolina Courage Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.51)
    3.23
    (3.05)
    2.64
    (2.73)
    8.8%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Seattle Reign - North Carolina Courage?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Seattle Reign (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Seattle Reign (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle Reign won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • North Carolina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Seattle Reign won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Seattle Reign won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Seattle Reign - North Carolina Courage were as follows:
    22.03.2025 North Carolina Courage - Seattle Reign 1:2
    25.08.2024 Seattle Reign - North Carolina Courage 1:0
    27.04.2024 North Carolina Courage - Seattle Reign 1:0
    01.10.2023 Seattle Reign - North Carolina Courage 1:1
    14.05.2023 North Carolina Courage - Seattle Reign 1:0
    Latest results of Seattle Reign
    NWSL Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego Wave W54018:3512
    2Portland Thorns W53118:5310
    3Seattle Reign W53117:4310
    4Angel City W430110:469
    5Houston Dash W43019:549
    6Orlando Pride W52217:438
    7Utah Royals W52126:607
    8Washington Spirit W51315:416
    9Denver Summit W51314:316
    10Bay FC W42026:7-16
    11Kansas City Current W52035:9-46
    12North Carolina Courage W41215:6-15
    13Gotham W51222:4-25
    14Chicago W51042:11-93
    15Racing Louisville W40137:10-31
    16Boston Legacy W40041:7-60

          Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)