Result
1:3
04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Referee: Scheer J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT, Xsports |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, TSN+ |
 Usa | ion TV, NSWL+, NWSL+ app, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (395/482) | 71% (158/223) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 2.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (395/482) | 71% (158/223) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (38/70) | 37% (18/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (115/154) | 64% (56/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 100% (11/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | 0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Flint T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 49', 0 - 1, Sears E. ⚽, Fischer K. (A),
- 55', 1 - 1, Matsukubo M. ⚽, Jackson R. (A),
- 59', 1 - 2, Fischer K. ⚽, O'Kane K. (A),
- 61', Fischer K. 🟨,
- 61', Hase E. ↓, Milliet L. ↑,
- 68', Weatherholt D. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
- 77', Fischer K. ↓, Balcer B. ↑,
- 78', O'Kane K. ↓, DiGrande M. ↑,
- 78', Betfort H. ↓, Linnehan P. ↑,
- 78', Lussi T. ↓, Aline Gomes ↑,
- 79', 1 - 3, Sears E. ⚽, Balcer B. (A),
- 87', Jacobs N. ↓, Speck M. ↑,
Chances of winning
North Carolina Courage
41.9% | Draw
26.6% | Racing Louisville
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Carolina Courage has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Racing Louisville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina Courage than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Louisville than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
North Carolina Courage - Racing Louisville Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.38) |
3.46 ↓
(3.5) |
2.97 ↑
(2.54) |
8.6%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 3.
- North Carolina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Racing Louisville is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 31:9. (average 2.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:3. (average 3.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina Courage won against Racing Louisville?
North Carolina Courage has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Louisville won against North Carolina Courage?
Racing Louisville has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina Courage - Racing Louisville were as follows:
15.03.2025
Racing Louisville
-
North Carolina Courage
1:1
21.09.2024
Racing Louisville
-
North Carolina Courage
2:1
07.07.2024
North Carolina Courage
-
Racing Louisville
3:1
09.09.2023
North Carolina Courage
-
Racing Louisville
2:0
24.06.2023
North Carolina Courage
-
Racing Louisville
1:0
Latest results of North Carolina Courage
Latest results of Racing Louisville
NWSL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kansas City Current W ✔ | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 45:11 | 34 | 59 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 39:28 | 11 | 43 |
| 3 | Gotham W | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 31:18 | 13 | 35 |
| 4 | Portland Thorns W | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 5 | Seattle Reign W | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 34 |
| 6 | Orlando Pride W | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 28:24 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | Racing Louisville W | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 32 |
| 8 | San Diego Wave W | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:35 | -6 | 28 |
| 10 | Houston Dash W | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 26:35 | -9 | 27 |
| 11 | Angel City W | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 28:37 | -9 | 24 |
| 12 | Utah Royals W | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 22 |
| 13 | Bay FC W | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 19 |
| 14 | Chicago W | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 16 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Kansas City Current W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
