North Carolina Courage vs Washington Spirit – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
11/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NWSL Women
  • Referee: Berna Rico S. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
kenyaKenyaGotv
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
usaUsaion TV, NSWL+, NWSL+ app, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.68
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
83% (356/428)83% (372/450)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.081.23
Total shots
911
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
1917
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
59
Passes
83% (356/428)83% (372/450)
Long passes
43% (18/42)43% (23/53)
Passes in final third
71% (91/128)76% (91/120)
Crosses
7% (1/15)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.69
Throw-ins
3221
Fouls
95
Tackles
75% (15/20)83% (20/24)
Duels won
3545
Clearances
1920
Interceptions
1918
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
1.230.08
Goals prevented
0.23-0.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', 0 - 1, Rodman T. ,
  • 84', Abiodun D. 🟨,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Koyama S. ,

Chances of winning


North Carolina Courage
26.6%
Draw
27.3%
Washington Spirit
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.7% 26.4% 48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3% 26% 48.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Carolina Courage has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Washington Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina Courage than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Spirit than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • North Carolina Courage - Washington Spirit Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.47
    (3.59)
    3.37
    (3.49)
    2
    (1.92)
    8.5%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 3.
    • In recent matches, North Carolina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Washington Spirit is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • North Carolina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Washington Spirit is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:26. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 2.1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina Courage - Washington Spirit were as follows:
    08.06.2025 Washington Spirit - North Carolina Courage 3:1
    02.11.2024 North Carolina Courage - Washington Spirit 0:1
    29.06.2024 Washington Spirit - North Carolina Courage 0:1
    15.10.2023 Washington Spirit - North Carolina Courage 0:1
    22.07.2023 North Carolina Courage - Washington Spirit 6:0
    Latest results of Washington Spirit
    NWSL Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Angel City W22007:166
    2Houston Dash W22004:046
    3Portland Thorns W22003:036
    4North Carolina Courage W21102:114
    5Gotham W21101:014
    6Kansas City Current W21013:303
    7San Diego Wave W21012:203
    8Bay FC W21013:4-13
    9Seattle Reign W21012:3-13
    10Chicago W21012:5-33
    11Racing Louisville W20113:4-11
    12Washington Spirit W20112:3-11
    13Denver Summit W20112:3-11
    14Orlando Pride W20112:3-11
    15Utah Royals W20022:4-20
    16Boston Legacy W20020:4-40

          Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)