Tobacco Road vs North Carolina Fusion U23 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL League Two Tobacco Road - North Carolina Fusion U23
Result
1:2
14/07/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USA: USL LEAGUE TWO

Chances of winning


Tobacco Road
13.2%
Draw
16.7%
North Carolina Fusion U23
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.2% 16.4% 64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7% 16% 66%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tobacco Road has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tobacco Road's form might have worsened.
  • North Carolina Fusion U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting North Carolina Fusion U23's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobacco Road than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tobacco Road, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina Fusion U23 than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Tobacco Road - North Carolina Fusion U23 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.82
    (4.74)
    5.4
    (5.54)
    1.29
    (1.41)
    11%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Tobacco Road is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • North Carolina Fusion U23 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • North Carolina Fusion U23 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match North Carolina Fusion U23 is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tobacco Road won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tobacco Road won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tobacco Road - North Carolina Fusion U23 were as follows:
    21.06.2023 North Carolina Fusion U23 - Tobacco Road 3:0
    Latest results of Tobacco Road
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Vermont GreenHudson Valley4 : 1
    2Motown 2Western Mass Pioneers2 : 1
    3LionsbridgeSalem City4 : 0
    4Northern VirginiaWest Chester Utd2 : 0
    5Dothan UnitedLittle Rock Rangers1 : 0
    6Asheville CityLouisiana2 : 3
    7Sarasota ParadiseSporting Jax2 : 0
    8Laredo HeatFort Lauderdale1 : 2
    9BallardColorado Storm6 : 0
    10Utah UnitedSnohomish United0 : 2
    11VenturaSan Juan2 : 1
    12AlmadenTucson1 : 2
    13Flint CitySteel City4 : 3
    14Fort WayneMidwest United3 : 2
    15Minneapolis CityPeoria3 : 2
    16MenaceSueno2 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1Vermont GreenMotown 23 : 2
    2LionsbridgeNorthern Virginia2 : 1
    3Dothan UnitedLouisiana2 : 0
    4Sarasota ParadiseFort Lauderdale1 : 2
    5BallardSnohomish United2 : 1
    6VenturaTucson2 : 0
    7Flint CityFort Wayne2 : 0
    8Minneapolis CitySueno2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Vermont GreenLionsbridge3 : 1
    2Dothan UnitedFort Lauderdale2 : 1
    3BallardVentura2 : 1
    4Flint CityMinneapolis City2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Vermont GreenDothan United1 : 0
    2BallardFlint City2 : 1

    Final
    1Vermont GreenBallard2 : 1