North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
74:69
01/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA Women
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN 2

Chances of winning


North Carolina Tar Heels
42.9%
Duke Blue Devils
57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 50.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for North Carolina Tar Heels have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The chances for Duke Blue Devils have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina Tar Heels than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Carolina Tar Heels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duke Blue Devils than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Duke Blue Devils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • North Carolina Tar Heels - Duke Blue Devils Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.2)

    1.65
    (1.65)
    6.2%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 127.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    Preview Facts
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Recently, Duke has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 212:233. (average 53:58.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, North Carolina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 53:46.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina Tar Heels - Duke Blue Devils were as follows:
    15.02.2026 Duke Blue Devils - North Carolina Tar Heels 72:68
    28.03.2025 Duke Blue Devils - North Carolina Tar Heels 47:38
    27.02.2025 Duke Blue Devils - North Carolina Tar Heels 68:53
    09.01.2025 North Carolina Tar Heels - Duke Blue Devils 53:46
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/64-finals
    1UConn WBye
    2ByeUTSA Roadrunners W
    3Iowa State WBye
    4ByeSyracuse W
    5Maryland WBye
    6ByeMurray State W
    7North Carolina WBye
    8ByeWestern Illinois W
    9Notre Dame WBye
    10ByeFairfield W
    11Ohio State WBye
    12ByeHoward W
    13Illinois Fighting Illini WBye
    14ByeColorado Buffaloes W
    15Vanderbilt WBye
    16ByeHigh Point W
    17South Carolina WBye
    18Nebraska Cornhuskers WRichmond Spiders W
    19Clemson WBye
    20ByeUSC Trojans W
    21Michigan State WBye
    22ByeColorado State W
    23Oklahoma Sooners WBye
    24ByeIdaho Vandals W
    25Washington WBye
    26ByeSouth Dakota State Jackrabbits W
    27TCU WBye
    28ByeUC San Diego Tritons W
    29Georgia WBye
    30Missouri State WStephen F. Austin W
    31Iowa Hawkeyes WBye
    32ByeFairleigh Dickinson W
    33UCLA WBye
    34ByeCalifornia Baptist W
    35Oklahoma State WBye
    36ByePrinceton W
    37Ole Miss WBye
    38ByeGonzaga W
    39Minnesota WBye
    40ByeWisc. Green Bay W
    41Baylor WBye
    42Southern Jaguars WSamford Bulldogs W
    43Duke WBye
    44ByeCharleston W
    45Texas Tech WBye
    46ByeVillanova W
    47LSU Tigers WBye
    48ByeJacksonville Dolphins W
    49Texas Longhorns WBye
    50Virginia Cavaliers WArizona State W
    51Oregon WBye
    52ByeVirginia Tech W
    53Kentucky WBye
    54ByeJames Madison W
    55West Virginia WBye
    56ByeMiami (Ohio) W
    57Alabama WBye
    58ByeRhode Island W
    59Louisville WBye
    60ByeVermont W
    61NC State WBye
    62ByeTennessee Volunteers W
    63Michigan Wolverines WBye
    64ByeHoly Cross W

    1/32-finals
    1UConn WUTSA Roadrunners W
    2Iowa State WSyracuse W
    3Maryland WMurray State W
    4North Carolina WWestern Illinois W
    5Notre Dame WFairfield W
    6Ohio State WHoward W
    7Illinois Fighting Illini WColorado Buffaloes W
    8Vanderbilt WHigh Point W
    9South Carolina WTBD #18
    10Clemson WUSC Trojans W
    11Michigan State WColorado State W
    12Oklahoma Sooners WIdaho Vandals W
    13Washington WSouth Dakota State Jackrabbits W
    14TCU WUC San Diego Tritons W
    15Georgia WTBD #30
    16Iowa Hawkeyes WFairleigh Dickinson W
    17UCLA WCalifornia Baptist W
    18Oklahoma State WPrinceton W
    19Ole Miss WGonzaga W
    20Minnesota WWisc. Green Bay W
    21Baylor WTBD #42
    22Duke WCharleston W
    23Texas Tech WVillanova W
    24LSU Tigers WJacksonville Dolphins W
    25Texas Longhorns WTBD #50
    26Oregon WVirginia Tech W
    27Kentucky WJames Madison W
    28West Virginia WMiami (Ohio) W
    29Alabama WRhode Island W
    30Louisville WVermont W
    31NC State WTennessee Volunteers W
    32Michigan Wolverines WHoly Cross W

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2