North District vs Lee Man – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
12/04/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hong-kongHong-kongon.cc, RTHK TV 32

Match Stats

Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
76
Corner kicks
46
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
145
Corner kicks
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 37', 0 - 1, Mikael ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 58', Poon Pui-Hin , Lau K. ,
  • 58', Goddard C. , Ngan Lok-Fung ,
  • 59', Lo Kong-Wai , Law Hiu-Chung ,
  • 59', Vinicius Soares , Villalobos E. ,
  • 64', Lau K. 🟨,
  • 77', Willian Gaucho , Dudu ,
  • 77', Yu Wai-Lim , Cheng S. K. ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Weverton Gudula ,
  • 81', Mikael 🟨,
  • 83', Sebai S. , Baffoe N. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Kayke David ,
  • 90+11', 2 - 2, Mikael (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+12', 2 - 3, Tachibana R. ,
  • 90+14', 3 - 3, Villalobos E. ,
  • 90+14', 🟨,

Chances of winning


North District
28.6%
Draw
23.9%
Lee Man
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.7% 23.2% 54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2% 22.7% 55.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North District's performance.
  • Lee Man has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lee Man might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North District than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North District that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lee Man than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lee Man could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • North District - Lee Man Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.2
    (4.04)
    3.83
    (3.96)
    1.93
    (1.7)
    9.2%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 and 2)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North District won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Lee Man may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lee Man is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, North District won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:32. (average 1:3.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North District won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:13. (average 0.5:3.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North District - Lee Man were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Lee Man - North District 2:2
    16.11.2025 North District - Lee Man 1:2
    17.05.2025 North District - Lee Man 0:3
    25.01.2025 Lee Man - North District 4:3
    27.10.2024 Lee Man - North District 5:1
    Latest results of North District
    Latest results of Lee Man
    07.04.2026 Kitchee - Lee Man 1:0
    03.04.2026 Eastern District - Lee Man 0:0
    21.03.2026 Lee Man - Kowloon City 0:0
    15.03.2026 Hong Kong FC - Lee Man 0:4
    11.03.2026 Lee Man - Wofoo Tai Po 1:0
    Hong Kong Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kitchee18162047:153250
    2Lee Man Warriors18106247:192836
    3North District1887336:27931
    4Tai Po1894536:261031
    5Eastern AA1874729:28125
    6Kowloon City1863922:33-1121
    7Eastern District1854915:15019
    8Southern District18531018:28-1018
    9Hong Kong Rangers18521120:38-1817
    10Hong Kong FC18111612:53-414

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