Result
3:3
12/04/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Hong-kong | on.cc, RTHK TV 32 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Mikael ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 58', Poon Pui-Hin ↓, Lau K. ↑,
- 58', Goddard C. ↓, Ngan Lok-Fung ↑,
- 59', Lo Kong-Wai ↓, Law Hiu-Chung ↑,
- 59', Vinicius Soares ↓, Villalobos E. ↑,
- 64', Lau K. 🟨,
- 77', Willian Gaucho ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 77', Yu Wai-Lim ↓, Cheng S. K. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Weverton Gudula ⚽,
- 81', Mikael 🟨,
- 83', Sebai S. ↓, Baffoe N. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Kayke David ⚽,
- 90+11', 2 - 2, Mikael (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+12', 2 - 3, Tachibana R. ⚽,
- 90+14', 3 - 3, Villalobos E. ⚽,
- 90+14', 🟨,
Chances of winning
North District 28.6% | Draw 23.9% | Lee Man 47.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North District's performance.Lee Man has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lee Man might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for North District than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North District that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lee Man than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lee Man could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
North District - Lee Man Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.2 ↓ (4.04) |
3.83 ↓ (3.96) |
1.93 ↑ (1.7) |
9.2% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 and 2)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North District won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Lee Man may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lee Man is a strong favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, North District won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:32. (average 1:3.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, North District won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:13. (average 0.5:3.3).
How many head-to-head matches has North District won against Lee Man?
North District has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lee Man won against North District?
Lee Man has won 8 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between North District - Lee Man were as follows:
23.11.2025
Lee Man
-
North District
2:2
16.11.2025
North District
-
Lee Man
1:2
17.05.2025
North District
-
Lee Man
0:3
25.01.2025
Lee Man
-
North District
4:3
27.10.2024
Lee Man
-
North District
5:1
Latest results of North District
Latest results of Lee Man
Hong Kong Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kitchee | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 47:15 | 32 | 50 |
| 2 | Lee Man Warriors | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 47:19 | 28 | 36 |
| 3 | North District | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 36:27 | 9 | 31 |
| 4 | Tai Po | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 36:26 | 10 | 31 |
| 5 | Eastern AA | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:28 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | Kowloon City | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 22:33 | -11 | 21 |
| 7 | Eastern District | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15:15 | 0 | 19 |
| 8 | Southern District | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18:28 | -10 | 18 |
| 9 | Hong Kong Rangers | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 17 |
| 10 | Hong Kong FC | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12:53 | -41 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation