Southern District vs North District – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
21/12/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
45
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Marcus Vinicius ,
  • 31', Villalobos E. 🟨,
  • 32', Song J. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Song J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Marcus Vinicius , Chak Ting-Fung ,
  • 66', Stefan , Mahama A. ,
  • 66', Acosta J. L. , Lucas Emmanuel ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Samuel Granada ,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Samuel Granada (Penalty Awarded),
  • 82', Lee Ka-Yiu , Chan H. P. ,
  • 84', Vinicius Soares 🟨,
  • 84', Ng W. H. 🟨,
  • 88', 1 - 3, Weverton Gudula ,
  • 89', Weverton Gudula 🟨,
  • 90+1', Samuel Granada 🟨,
  • 90+4', Samuel Granada , Tsang C. ,
  • 90+4', Weverton Gudula , Yuen Sai-Kit ,
  • 90+4', Villalobos E. , Wong W. ,
  • 90+6', Murilo 🟨,

Chances of winning


Southern District
28.3%
Draw
26.4%
North District
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.8% 25% 47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 24.1% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Southern District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • North District has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southern District than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North District than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Southern District - North District Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (3.26)
    3.49
    (3.63)
    2.03
    (1.93)
    8.8%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southern District won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, North District has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Southern District won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Southern District won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Southern District - North District were as follows:
    02.11.2025 North District - Southern District 2:1
    27.04.2025 North District - Southern District 2:3
    15.02.2025 Southern District - North District 4:1
    05.10.2024 Southern District - North District 2:0
    16.03.2024 Southern District - North District 2:2
    Latest results of Southern District
    Latest results of North District
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1Tai PoBye
    2ByeKitchee
    3Hong Kong RangersBye
    4Lee Man WarriorsKowloon City3 : 0
    5Eastern AABye
    6ByeEastern District
    7Hong Kong FCBye
    8Southern DistrictNorth District1 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1Tai PoKitchee
    2Hong Kong RangersLee Man Warriors
    3Eastern AAEastern District
    4Hong Kong FCNorth District

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2