North Geelong Warriors vs Eltham Redbacks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
28/03/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Victoria Premier League - Round 7

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 38', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 71', 1 - 1, ,
  • 73', 2 - 1, ,
  • 78', 3 - 1, ,
  • 83', 3 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


North Geelong Warriors
34.5%
Draw
24.4%
Eltham Redbacks
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 24.6% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7% 24% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Geelong Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Eltham Redbacks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Geelong Warriors than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eltham Redbacks than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • North Geelong Warriors - Eltham Redbacks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.6)
    3.73
    (3.65)
    2.21
    (2.2)
    10%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))
    • North Geelong has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Eltham Redbacks is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • North Geelong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Eltham Redbacks
    Australian Victoria Premier League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Northcote City1182122:101226
    2Melbourne Knights1171318:81022
    3Brunswick Juventus1170421:13821
    4Eltham Redbacks1162321:15620
    5Bulleen1162319:13620
    6Manningham United Blues1161421:17419
    7North Geelong1160518:21-318
    8Melbourne Victory U211142520:20014
    9Brunswick City1141621:23-213
    10Melbourne Srbija1140712:17-512
    11Western Utd. U211140721:27-612
    12North Sunshine Eagles1130815:22-79
    13Langwarrin1123616:26-109
    14Port Melbourne Sharks112277:20-138

          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria
          Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation