North Otago vs Poverty Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Heartland Championships North Otago - Poverty Bay
10/10/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Heartland Championships - 5th-8th places - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Chances of winning


North Otago
68.6%
Draw
3.1%
Poverty Bay
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.8% 3.1% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4% 2.9% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Otago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Poverty Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Otago than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poverty Bay than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • North Otago - Poverty Bay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.34)
    30
    (30)
    3.27
    (3.28)
    8.3%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 65.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
    What is the prediction for North Otago - Poverty Bay?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. North Otago (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 38:28.
  • Preview Facts
    • North Otago is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Poverty Bay has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, North Otago is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that North Otago will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, North Otago won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 127:75. (average 42.3:25).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Otago won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 93:45. (average 46.5:22.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Otago - Poverty Bay were as follows:
    12.09.2025 North Otago - Poverty Bay FRO
    Latest results of North Otago
    03.10.2025 Mid Canterbury - North Otago 47:7
    19.09.2025 West Coast - North Otago 31:38
    12.09.2025 North Otago - Poverty Bay FRO
    05.09.2025 North Otago - Thames Valley 45:36
    Latest results of Poverty Bay
    03.10.2025 Wairarapa Bush - Poverty Bay 29:24
    26.09.2025 Poverty Bay - Mid Canterbury 43:47
    12.09.2025 North Otago - Poverty Bay FRO
    05.09.2025 Poverty Bay - Buller 38:3
    Heartland Championships Table
    Main
    PlWDLPts
    1Mid Cant8800368:18640
    2South Cant8503297:23929
    3Thames Valley8503335:17229
    4Wairarapa8503290:22628
    5Whanganui8503258:22026
    6North Otago8503279:29026
    7Poverty Bay8404249:24725
    8Horowhenua8404242:22121
    9King Country8206259:23415
    10West Coast8404268:2038
    11Buller8107129:3787
    12East Coast8008112:4701

          Promotion ~ Heartland Championships (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
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