North Otago vs Poverty Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Heartland Championships North Otago - Poverty Bay
12/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Heartland Championships - Round 5

Chances of winning


North Otago
35.1%
Draw
3.6%
Poverty Bay
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
74.6% 3.3% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Otago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-39.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Otago's form might have worsened.
  • Poverty Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+39.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Poverty Bay's recent form is better than expected.
  • North Otago - Poverty Bay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (1.23)
    26
    (28)
    1.51
    (4.14)
    8.3%
    (9%)
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, North Otago is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that North Otago will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, North Otago won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 68:42. (average 34:21).
    • Including home match between the teams, North Otago won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:12.
    Latest results of North Otago
    05.09.2025 North Otago - Thames Valley 45:36
    29.08.2025 East Coast - North Otago 19:48
    22.08.2025 North Otago - Wairarapa Bush 29:56
    15.08.2025 Whanganui - North Otago 39:21
    04.10.2024 North Otago - Buller 55:14
    Latest results of Poverty Bay
    05.09.2025 Poverty Bay - Buller 38:3
    22.08.2025 King Country - Poverty Bay 47:26
    15.08.2025 Poverty Bay - East Coast 18:8
    04.10.2024 Mid Canterbury - Poverty Bay 47:24
    Heartland Championships Table
    2025
    PlWDLPts
    1Mid Cant6600253:11829
    2Wairarapa6402240:18021
    3South Cant6402219:16521
    4Whanganui6402224:15820
    5North Otago6402240:21420
    6Poverty Bay6402182:17120
    7Thames Valley6303252:16018
    8West Coast6303227:14718
    9Horowhenua6303199:16917
    10King Country6105162:1918
    11Buller600697:3252
    12East Coast600679:3760

          Promotion ~ Heartland Championships (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
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