North Queensland Cowboys vs Newcastle Knights – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL North Queensland Cowboys - Newcastle Knights
Result
38:4
17/08/2025 at 02:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaPremier Sports Rugby Asia
australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2

Match Stats

Tries
61
Conversion Goals
60
Conversion Goal Attempts
61
Penalty Goals
10
Penalty Goal Attempts
10
Goals %
1000
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
187159
Metres Run With Ball
19201447

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (20 - 0)
  • 4', Drinkwater S. (Try),
  • 6', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 12', Drinkwater S. (Penalty Goal),
  • 30', Dearden T. (Try),
  • 30', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 32', Burns B. (Try),
  • 34', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (18 - 4)
  • 47', Purdue J. (Try),
  • 48', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 54', Young D. (Try),
  • 55', Votano C. (Missed Conversion),
  • 67', Nanai J. (Try),
  • 68', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 72', Drinkwater S. (Try),
  • 73', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


North Queensland Cowboys
70%
Draw
3.7%
Newcastle Knights
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 3.5% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9% 3.6% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Queensland Cowboys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Queensland Cowboys's performance.
  • Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle Knights might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Queensland Cowboys that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle Knights could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • North Queensland Cowboys - Newcastle Knights Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.52)
    24.91
    (26.67)
    3.6
    (2.67)
    7%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
  • What is the prediction for North Queensland Cowboys - Newcastle Knights?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. North Queensland will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:21.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 4.
    • North Queensland has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Newcastle is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Newcastle has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, North Queensland is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 445:390. (average 22.3:19.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Queensland won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 351:192. (average 27:14.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Queensland Cowboys - Newcastle Knights were as follows:
    14.09.2024 North Queensland Cowboys - Newcastle Knights 28:16
    16.03.2024 North Queensland Cowboys - Newcastle Knights 21:20
    22.04.2023 North Queensland Cowboys - Newcastle Knights 18:16
    Latest results of Newcastle Knights
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2