North West Sydney Spirit vs Rockdale Ilinden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 ET
07/09/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL NSW - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1024
Shots on target
712
Corner Kicks
28
Total shots
1024
Shots on target
712
Shots off target
312
Corner Kicks
28
Goalkeeper Saves
106

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 0 - 1, Urosevski A. ,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Keys H. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 1)
  • 91', 1 - 2, Najjar M. ,

Chances of winning


North West Sydney Spirit
36.7%
Draw
27.5%
Rockdale Ilinden
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 24% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 22.8% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North West Sydney Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North West Sydney Spirit's form might have worsened.
  • Rockdale Ilinden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North West Sydney Spirit than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North West Sydney Spirit, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rockdale Ilinden than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • North West Sydney Spirit - Rockdale Ilinden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.18)
    3.37
    (3.8)
    2.58
    (2.66)
    8.2%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NWS Spirit won 1.
    • NWS Spirit is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Rockdale Ilinden has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • NWS Spirit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, NWS Spirit won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NWS Spirit won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North West Sydney Spirit - Rockdale Ilinden were as follows:
    19.07.2025 North West Sydney Spirit - Rockdale Ilinden 6:3
    06.04.2025 Rockdale Ilinden - North West Sydney Spirit 1:1
    06.07.2024 North West Sydney Spirit - Rockdale Ilinden 1:2
    31.03.2024 Rockdale Ilinden - North West Sydney Spirit 3:1
    13.08.2023 Rockdale Ilinden - North West Sydney Spirit 2:0
    Latest results of Rockdale Ilinden
    Australian NPL NSW Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sydney Utd440012:5712
    2St George Saints43106:0610
    3Marconi Stallions43017:349
    4Sydney FC U2343018:629
    5Rockdale Ilinden43018:719
    6APIA Leichhardt42118:627
    7NWS Spirit42025:8-36
    8St. George City41213:305
    9Manly Utd41213:4-15
    10Sydney Olympic41129:814
    11Blacktown City41127:704
    12WS Wanderers U2141036:603
    13Sutherland Sharks41034:6-23
    14Wollongong Wolves41032:7-53
    15SD Raiders40135:11-61
    16UNSW40134:10-61

          Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          NPL NSW (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ NSW League One