Exeter Chiefs vs Northampton Saints – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union English Premiership Rugby Exeter Chiefs - Northampton Saints
Result
42:14
11/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premiership Rugby - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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colombiaColombiaDisney+
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germanyGermanyMore Than Sports TV
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slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Tries
62
Conversion Goals
62
Conversion Goal Attempts
62
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
100100
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Metres Run With Ball
580280
Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (21 - 7)
  • 13', Lilley N. (Try),
  • 14', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 20', Sio S. , Blose K. N. ,
  • 21', Garside J. (Try),
  • 21', Rigg W. 🟨,
  • 22', James T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 22', West T. , Haffar T. ,
  • 37', Skinner H. (Try),
  • 37', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 40', Brown-Bampoe P. (Try),
  • 40+1', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (21 - 7)
  • 41', Millar-Mills E. , Green L. ,
  • 41', Walker H. , Wright C. ,
  • 42', Lockett T. (Try),
  • 43', James T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 45', Street M. , Iosefa-Scott J. ,
  • 48', Rigg W. , Tua T. ,
  • 51', Townsend S. , Cairns T. ,
  • 51', James T. , Baker E. ,
  • 51', Vermeulen J. , Tua T. ,
  • 52', Yeandle J. , Frost D. ,
  • 58', Moloney M. (Try),
  • 59', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 61', Lockett T. , Hunter-Hill C. ,
  • 66', Glister W. , Witheat R. ,
  • 73', Brown-Bampoe P. (Try),
  • 76', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 76', Slade H. , Haydon-Wood W. ,
  • 76', Seabrook T. , Reuben L. ,
  • 79', Skinner H. (Try),
  • 79', Hodge J. (Conversion Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Exeter Chiefs
75.6%
Draw
3.2%
Northampton Saints
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 4.3% 42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6% 5.5% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Exeter Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Exeter Chiefs's performance.
  • Northampton Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Northampton Saints might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter Chiefs than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Exeter Chiefs that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Saints than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Northampton Saints could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Exeter Chiefs - Northampton Saints Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.73)
    28.75
    (21.75)
    4.45
    (2.22)
    4%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 65.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Exeter Chiefs - Northampton Saints?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 34:34.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1.
    • Recent form of Exeter has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Northampton Saints is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Exeter is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 623:449. (average 31.2:22.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 394:218. (average 35.8:19.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter Chiefs - Northampton Saints were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Northampton Saints - Exeter Chiefs 30:24
    06.01.2024 Exeter Chiefs - Northampton Saints 36:42
    12.11.2023 Northampton Saints - Exeter Chiefs 34:19
    07.01.2023 Exeter Chiefs - Northampton Saints 35:12
    04.11.2022 Northampton Saints - Exeter Chiefs 26:19
    Latest results of Exeter Chiefs
    27.04.2025 Gloucester - Exeter Chiefs 79:17
    19.04.2025 Exeter Chiefs - Bath 24:26
    22.03.2025 Bristol Rugby - Exeter Chiefs 52:38
    16.03.2025 Exeter Chiefs - Bath 14:48
    Latest results of Northampton Saints
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Bath (1)Bristol (4)34 : 20
    2Leicester Tigers (2)Sale Sharks (3)21 : 16

    Final
    1Bath (1)Leicester Tigers (2)23 : 21