Northampton Saints vs Saracens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union English Premiership Rugby Northampton Saints - Saracens
Result
28:24
17/05/2025 at 10:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premiership Rugby - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Tries
44
Conversion Goals
32
Conversion Goal Attempts
42
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
75100
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Metres Run With Ball
615441
Yellow Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (7 - 19)
  • 7', Kemeny J. (Try),
  • 8', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
  • 12', Willis T. (Try),
  • 13', Burke F. (Missed Conversion),
  • 18', Gonzalez J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 19', Burke F. (Try),
  • 21', Daly E. (Missed Drop Goal),
  • 26', Langdon C. , Wright C. ,
  • 35', Goode A. (Try),
  • 36', Burke F. (Conversion Goal),
  • 36', Ramm J. , Seabrook T. ,
  • 38', Gonzalez J. , McFarland T. ,
  • 2nd Half (21 - 5)
  • 43', Segun R. (Try),
  • 44', Burke F. (Missed Conversion),
  • 51', George J. , Brantingham P. ,
  • 51', Mawi E. , Dan T. ,
  • 55', Iyogun E. , Scott-Young A. ,
  • 55', Kemeny J. , Haffar T. ,
  • 55', Smith F. , Garside J. ,
  • 59', Haffar T. (Try),
  • 59', Hutchinson R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 59', Willis T. , Christie A. ,
  • 60', Davidson T. , Millar-Mills E. ,
  • 60', Mayanavanua T. , Prowse E. ,
  • 60', Mitchell A. , Weimann J. ,
  • 64', Riccioni M. , Clarey A. ,
  • 66', Isiekwe N. , Tizard H. ,
  • 72', Christie A. 🟨,
  • 74', Segun R. , Bracken C. ,
  • 75', (Penalty Try),
  • 80', Haffar T. (Try),
  • 80+3', Hutchinson R. (Conversion Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Northampton Saints
41.3%
Draw
4.2%
Saracens
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.8% 4.5% 60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33% 4.7% 64%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Northampton Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Northampton Saints's performance.
  • Saracens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saracens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Saints than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northampton Saints that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saracens than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saracens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Northampton Saints - Saracens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.67)
    22.52
    (20.75)
    1.71
    (1.53)
    7.6%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 64.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton Saints won 3.
    • Northampton Saints is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Saracens has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Saracens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Northampton Saints won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 528:725. (average 26.4:36.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Northampton Saints won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 290:391. (average 26.4:35.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Saints - Saracens were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Saracens - Northampton Saints 39:24
    31.05.2024 Northampton Saints - Saracens 22:20
    29.03.2024 Northampton Saints - Saracens 41:30
    02.12.2023 Saracens - Northampton Saints 12:18
    13.05.2023 Saracens - Northampton Saints 38:15
    Latest results of Northampton Saints
    Latest results of Saracens
    10.05.2025 Saracens - Newcastle Falcons 75:28
    25.04.2025 Sale Sharks - Saracens 25:7
    19.04.2025 Saracens - Gloucester 36:14
    05.04.2025 Toulon - Saracens 72:42
    30.03.2025 Leicester Tigers - Saracens 22:29
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Bath (1)Bristol (4)34 : 20
    2Leicester Tigers (2)Sale Sharks (3)21 : 16

    Final
    1Bath (1)Leicester Tigers (2)23 : 21