Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg, FIFA World Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Windsor Park (Belfast).

World Cup - Qualification
Referee: Tohver K. (Est)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport Football
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Iceland	Viaplay
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Luxembourg	RTL, RTL
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	Sky Sport 7
Nigeria	SuperSport Action
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport, BBC Three, BBC Two, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.15	0.63
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
8	12
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
69% (216/314)	78% (383/490)
Yellow Cards
3	5
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15	0.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.10	0.25
Total shots
8	12
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
6	3
Shots outside the Box
2	9
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
13	16
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
17	11
Passes
69% (216/314)	78% (383/490)
Long passes
35% (26/75)	42% (31/73)
Passes in final third
51% (42/83)	54% (50/92)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.43	0.97
Throw-ins
22	25
Fouls
11	17
Tackles
47% (9/19)	45% (5/11)
Duels won
65	48
Clearances
35	29
Interceptions
10	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.25	1.10
Goals prevented
0.25	0.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', Moris A. 🟨,
43', Huet D. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Donley J. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bradley C. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
53', Lyons B. ↓, Smyth P. ↑,
56', Korac S. 🟨,
67', Donley J. ↓, Marshall C. ↑,
67', McDonnell J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
67', Olesen M. ↓, de Sousa T. ↑,
67', Dardari A. ↓, Avdusinovic K. ↑,
80', Thill O. ↓, Muratovic E. ↑,
81', McConville R. 🟨,
82', Lewis J. ↓, Kelly P. ↑,
85', Sinani D. 🟨,
87', Martins M. ↓, Dzogovic E. ↑,
90+1', Hazard C. 🟨,
90+2', McNair P. 🟨,
90+3', de Sousa T. 🟨,
90+7', Barreiro L. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Northern Ireland
54.8%

Draw
28%

Luxembourg
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

17.8%

10.7%

Northern Ireland - Luxembourg Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.34)	3.63 ↓ (5.4)	5.98 ↓ (9)	0.6% (4.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Northern Ireland - Luxembourg?

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Northern Ireland will win (votes: 50 - 80.6%). Luxembourg will win (votes: 6 - 9.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northern Ireland: 70.8% – 90.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Northern Ireland will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northern Ireland won 4.
In this match, Northern Ireland is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Northern Ireland won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Northern Ireland won against Luxembourg?

Northern Ireland has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Luxembourg won against Northern Ireland?

Luxembourg has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Northern Ireland - Luxembourg were as follows:

04.09.2025 Luxembourg - Northern Ireland 1:3

18.11.2024 Luxembourg - Northern Ireland 2:2

05.09.2024 Northern Ireland - Luxembourg 2:0

Latest results of Northern Ireland

14.11.2025 Slovakia - Northern Ireland 1:0 ✺

13.10.2025 Northern Ireland - Germany 0:1 ✺

10.10.2025 Northern Ireland - Slovakia 2:0 ✺

07.09.2025 Germany - Northern Ireland 3:1 ✺

04.09.2025 Luxembourg - Northern Ireland 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Luxembourg

14.11.2025 Luxembourg - Germany 0:2 ✺

13.10.2025 Slovakia - Luxembourg 2:0 ✺

10.10.2025 Germany - Luxembourg 4:0 ✺

07.09.2025 Luxembourg - Slovakia 0:1 ✺

04.09.2025 Luxembourg - Northern Ireland 1:3 ✺

FIFA World Cup Table

South America

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Argentina	18	12	2	4	31:10	21	38
2	Ecuador	18	8	8	2	14:5	9	29
3	Colombia	18	7	7	4	28:18	10	28
4	Uruguay	18	7	7	4	22:12	10	28
5	Brazil	18	8	4	6	24:17	7	28
6	Paraguay	18	7	7	4	14:10	4	28
7	Bolivia	18	6	2	10	17:35	-18	20
8	Venezuela	18	4	6	8	18:28	-10	18
9	Peru	18	2	6	10	6:21	-15	12
10	Chile	18	2	5	11	9:27	-18	11

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