North Harbour vs Northland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC North Harbour - Northland
Result
21:22
20/09/2025 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bunnings NPC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (14 - 19)
  • 2nd Half (7 - 3)

Chances of winning


North Harbour
40%
Draw
4.1%
Northland
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 3.5% 52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 3.8% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Harbour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Northland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Harbour than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Harbour, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northland than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Northland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • North Harbour - Northland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.08)
    24
    (26)
    1.62
    (1.75)
    9%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 56.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    What is the prediction for North Harbour - Northland?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. North Harbour will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Northland will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 26:30.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Harbour won 4.
    • North Harbour is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Northland's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Northland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Northland will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, North Harbour won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 355:298. (average 32.3:27.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Harbour won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 140:96. (average 35:24).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Harbour - Northland were as follows:
    20.09.2024 Northland - North Harbour 47:24
    16.09.2023 North Harbour - Northland 50:31
    18.09.2022 Northland - North Harbour 21:48
    Latest results of North Harbour
    12.09.2025 Waikato - North Harbour 29:28
    23.08.2025 North Harbour - Tasman 19:43
    16.08.2025 Hawkes Bay - North Harbour 36:22
    Latest results of Northland
    11.09.2025 Northland - Wellington 43:26
    05.09.2025 Otago - Northland 29:10
    30.08.2025 Northland - Hawkes Bay 27:21
    23.08.2025 Auckland - Northland 24:43
    15.08.2025 Northland - Tasman 14:28
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Canterbury (1)Counties Manukau (8)
    2Hawke's Bay (4)Taranaki (5)
    3Otago (2)Waikato (7)44 : 41
    4Bay of Plenty (3)Tasman (6)27 : 7