Waikato vs Northland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Waikato - Northland
Result
25:19
03/10/2025 at 23:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bunnings NPC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (14 - 12)
  • 2nd Half (11 - 7)

Chances of winning


Waikato
53%
Draw
4.5%
Northland
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 3.7% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 3.6% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Waikato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Waikato's form might have worsened.
  • Northland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Northland's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waikato than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Waikato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northland than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Northland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Waikato - Northland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.52)
    21.13
    (25)
    2.17
    (2.55)
    7.8%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
    What is the prediction for Waikato - Northland?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Waikato will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Northland will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 29:24.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waikato won 3.
    • Waikato has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Northland is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Waikato might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Waikato will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Waikato won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 277:256. (average 30.8:28.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Waikato won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 111:67. (average 37:22.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Waikato - Northland were as follows:
    04.09.2024 Waikato - Northland 32:19
    Latest results of Waikato
    27.09.2025 Bay of Plenty - Waikato 41:5
    20.09.2025 Tasman - Waikato 24:29
    12.09.2025 Waikato - North Harbour 29:28
    05.09.2025 Manawatu - Waikato 36:26
    31.08.2025 Waikato - Southland 10:25
    Latest results of Northland
    27.09.2025 Northland - Canterbury 19:19
    20.09.2025 North Harbour - Northland 21:22
    11.09.2025 Northland - Wellington 43:26
    05.09.2025 Otago - Northland 29:10
    30.08.2025 Northland - Hawkes Bay 27:21
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Canterbury (1)Counties Manukau (8)
    2Hawke's Bay (4)Taranaki (5)26 : 12
    3Otago (2)Waikato (7)44 : 41
    4Bay of Plenty (3)Tasman (6)27 : 7