Italy vs Norway, FIFA World Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
16/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • World Cup - Qualification
  • Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
europeEuropeUEFA TV
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceL'Equipe, L'Equipe Live Foot
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
indonesiaIndonesiaRCTI
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyRAI 1, RaiPlay
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanKazakhstan TV
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2, TVWan Sports 2
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayTV2, TV2 Play
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyExxen
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldSport 24 Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.291.61
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
88% (473/535)85% (334/394)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.291.61
xG on target (xGOT)
1.951.96
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
1927
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
815
Passes
88% (473/535)85% (334/394)
Long passes
67% (26/39)50% (27/54)
Passes in final third
74% (98/132)67% (60/90)
Crosses
35% (8/23)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.56
Throw-ins
1213
Fouls
158
Tackles
70% (7/10)75% (6/8)
Duels won
3247
Clearances
2119
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.961.95
Goals prevented
-2.040.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Esposito F. , Dimarco F. (A),
  • 44', Gattuso G. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Barella N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 63', 1 - 1, Nusa A. , Sorloth A. (A),
  • 64', Berg P. , Thorsby M. ,
  • 67', Bastoni A. 🟨,
  • 68', Frattesi D. , Cristante B. ,
  • 69', Esposito F. 🟨,
  • 75', Thorstvedt K. , Aasgaard T. ,
  • 75', Sorloth A. , Bobb O. ,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Haaland E. , Bobb O. (A),
  • 79', Locatelli M. , Scamacca G. ,
  • 79', Esposito F. , Zaccagni M. ,
  • 80', 1 - 3, Haaland E. , Thorsby M. (A),
  • 86', Barella N. , Buongiorno A. ,
  • 86', Bastoni A. , Ricci S. ,
  • 89', Wolfe D. M. , Ostigard L. ,
  • 89', Haaland E. , Larsen J. S. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 4, Larsen J. S. , Thorsby M. (A),
  • 90+3', Larsen J. S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Italy
45.9%
Draw
26%
Norway
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 26.2% 22.5%

Italy - Norway Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.09
(1.84)
3.72
(3.6)
3.5
(4.2)
3.2%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Italy - Norway?
  • Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 29 - 52.7%). Norway will win (votes: 6 - 10.9%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Italy: 39.5%65.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Italy (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Norway (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Norway (1.70) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Italy is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Italy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Italy - Norway were as follows:
    06.06.2025 Norway - Italy 3:0
    Latest results of Italy
    13.11.2025 Moldova - Italy 0:2
    14.10.2025 Italy - Israel 3:0
    11.10.2025 Estonia - Italy 1:3
    08.09.2025 Israel - Italy 4:5
    05.09.2025 Italy - Estonia 5:0
    Latest results of Norway
    13.11.2025 Norway - Estonia 4:1
    14.10.2025 Norway - New Zealand 1:1
    11.10.2025 Norway - Israel 5:0
    09.09.2025 Norway - Moldova 11:1
    04.09.2025 Norway - Finland 1:0
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina18122431:102138
    2Ecuador1888214:5929
    3Colombia1877428:181028
    4Uruguay1877422:121028
    5Brazil1884624:17728
    6Paraguay1877414:10428
    7Bolivia18621017:35-1820
    8Venezuela1846818:28-1018
    9Peru1826106:21-1512
    10Chile1825119:27-1811

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