Result
1:2
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 1
- Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (354/429) | 69% (198/286) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (354/429) | 69% (198/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (18/56) | 47% (34/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (67/101) | 58% (59/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 33% (11/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 46% (11/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.00 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Tanganga J. 🟨,
- 40', Cooper J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 52', 0 - 1, Neghli C. ⚽, Crama T. (A),
- 55', 1 - 1, Sargent J. ⚽,
- 59', Forson A. ↓, Kvistgaarden M. ↑,
- 70', Topic M. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
- 70', Schlupp J. ↓, Chrisene B. ↑,
- 80', Neghli C. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
- 80', Coburn J. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Langstaff M. ⚽, Doughty A. (A),
- 84', Crnac A. ↓, Makama J. ↑,
- 85', Stacey J. ↓, Fisher K. ↑,
- 87', Mitchell B. 🟨,
- 89', Azeez F. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
- 89', Wright J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Mitchell B. ↓, Luongo M. ↑,
- 90+3', Doughty A. ↓, Leonard R. ↑,
- 90+7', Crama T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Norwich City
45.4% | Draw
28.7% | Millwall
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Norwich City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Norwich City - Millwall Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(2.02) |
3.29 ↓
(3.43) |
3.68 ↓
(3.75) |
5.7%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Norwich City - Millwall?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Norwich City will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Norwich City will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 3.
- Recent performances by Norwich have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Millwall is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Millwall may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Millwall has had a series of away games.
- Norwich could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Norwich: Mahovo L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Lovelace Z.
(Knee Injury)
McNamara D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Norwich: Springett T.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Millwall: Bryan J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 2.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Norwich won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 2.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Norwich City won against Millwall?
Norwich City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Norwich City?
Millwall has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Norwich City - Millwall were as follows:
21.04.2025
Millwall
-
Norwich City
3:1
26.12.2024
Norwich City
-
Millwall
2:1
29.12.2023
Millwall
-
Norwich City
1:0
20.08.2023
Norwich City
-
Millwall
3:1
04.03.2023
Millwall
-
Norwich City
2:3
Latest results of Norwich City
Latest results of Millwall
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 81:40 | 41 | 80 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 71 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 67:39 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | Millwall | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 69 |
| 5 | Hull | 39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 62:57 | 5 | 66 |
| 6 | Southampton | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 63:48 | 15 | 63 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 60:51 | 9 | 63 |
| 8 | Derby | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 50:46 | 4 | 56 |
| 10 | Norwich | 39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 52:46 | 6 | 54 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 | QPR | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 55:61 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 | Preston | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 45:49 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 | Swansea | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 44:49 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 | Stoke | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 46:43 | 3 | 51 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 54:54 | 0 | 50 |
| 18 | Charlton | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 36:46 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 | West Brom | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 40:54 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 37:54 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 | Leicester | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 36:51 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 24:79 | -55 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
