Norwich City vs Millwall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 1
  • Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.49
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
83% (354/429)69% (198/286)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.271.00
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1631
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
155
Passes
83% (354/429)69% (198/286)
Long passes
32% (18/56)47% (34/72)
Passes in final third
66% (67/101)58% (59/102)
Crosses
29% (6/21)33% (11/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.95
Throw-ins
2228
Fouls
515
Tackles
50% (8/16)46% (11/24)
Duels won
5157
Clearances
4528
Interceptions
111
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.001.27
Goals prevented
-1.000.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Tanganga J. 🟨,
  • 40', Cooper J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 52', 0 - 1, Neghli C. , Crama T. (A),
  • 55', 1 - 1, Sargent J. ,
  • 59', Forson A. , Kvistgaarden M. ,
  • 70', Topic M. , Nunez M. ,
  • 70', Schlupp J. , Chrisene B. ,
  • 80', Neghli C. , Cundle L. ,
  • 80', Coburn J. , Langstaff M. ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Langstaff M. , Doughty A. (A),
  • 84', Crnac A. , Makama J. ,
  • 85', Stacey J. , Fisher K. ,
  • 87', Mitchell B. 🟨,
  • 89', Azeez F. , Emakhu A. ,
  • 89', Wright J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Mitchell B. , Luongo M. ,
  • 90+3', Doughty A. , Leonard R. ,
  • 90+7', Crama T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Norwich City
45.4%
Draw
28.7%
Millwall
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 27.7% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5% 30.3% 23.1%

Norwich City - Millwall Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.08
(2.02)
3.29
(3.43)
3.68
(3.75)
5.7%
(5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Norwich City - Millwall?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Norwich City will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.67%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Norwich City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 3.
    • Recent performances by Norwich have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Millwall is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Millwall may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Millwall has had a series of away games.
    • Norwich could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Norwich: Mahovo L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lovelace Z. (Knee Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Norwich: Springett T. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Millwall: Bryan J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 2.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Norwich won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 2.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Norwich City - Millwall were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Millwall - Norwich City 3:1
    26.12.2024 Norwich City - Millwall 2:1
    29.12.2023 Millwall - Norwich City 1:0
    20.08.2023 Norwich City - Millwall 3:1
    04.03.2023 Millwall - Norwich City 2:3
    Latest results of Norwich City
    Latest results of Millwall
    02.08.2025 Estoril Praia - Millwall 0:3
    29.07.2025 Sutton United - Millwall 2:6
    26.07.2025 Bromley - Millwall 1:2
    22.07.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Millwall 0:3
    18.07.2025 Elche - Millwall 2:1
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry28177461:313058
    2Middlesbrough28157642:291352
    3Ipswich27148547:242350
    4Hull27145845:39647
    5Millwall28137832:35-346
    6Preston281110736:29743
    7Watford27119738:32642
    8Stoke281251133:25841
    9Wrexham281011740:35541
    10Derby28118938:36241
    11Bristol City281171038:31740
    12QPR281171038:39-140
    13Birmingham281081038:37138
    14Leicester281081039:41-238
    15Southampton28991040:40036
    16Swansea281061231:35-436
    17Sheffield Utd271021536:40-432
    18Charlton27881127:34-732
    19West Brom28941531:43-1231
    20Norwich28861435:40-530
    21Portsmouth26781123:36-1329
    22Blackburn27771325:36-1128
    23Oxford Utd27591325:35-1024
    24Sheffield Wed27181818:54-36-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One