Norwich City vs Millwall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 1
  • Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.49
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
83% (354/429)69% (198/286)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.271.00
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1631
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
155
Passes
83% (354/429)69% (198/286)
Long passes
32% (18/56)47% (34/72)
Passes in final third
66% (67/101)58% (59/102)
Crosses
29% (6/21)33% (11/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.95
Throw-ins
2228
Fouls
515
Tackles
50% (8/16)46% (11/24)
Duels won
5157
Clearances
4528
Interceptions
111
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.001.27
Goals prevented
-1.000.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Tanganga J. 🟨,
  • 40', Cooper J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 52', 0 - 1, Neghli C. , Crama T. (A),
  • 55', 1 - 1, Sargent J. ,
  • 59', Forson A. , Kvistgaarden M. ,
  • 70', Topic M. , Nunez M. ,
  • 70', Schlupp J. , Chrisene B. ,
  • 80', Neghli C. , Cundle L. ,
  • 80', Coburn J. , Langstaff M. ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Langstaff M. , Doughty A. (A),
  • 84', Crnac A. , Makama J. ,
  • 85', Stacey J. , Fisher K. ,
  • 87', Mitchell B. 🟨,
  • 89', Azeez F. , Emakhu A. ,
  • 89', Wright J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Mitchell B. , Luongo M. ,
  • 90+3', Doughty A. , Leonard R. ,
  • 90+7', Crama T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Norwich City
45.4%
Draw
28.7%
Millwall
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 27.7% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5% 30.3% 23.1%

Norwich City - Millwall Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.08
(2.02)
3.29
(3.43)
3.68
(3.75)
5.7%
(5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Norwich City - Millwall?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Norwich City will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.67%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Norwich City will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 3.
    • Recent performances by Norwich have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Millwall is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Millwall may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Millwall has had a series of away games.
    • Norwich could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Norwich: Mahovo L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lovelace Z. (Knee Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Norwich: Springett T. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Millwall: Bryan J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 2.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Norwich won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 2.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Norwich City - Millwall were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Millwall - Norwich City 3:1
    26.12.2024 Norwich City - Millwall 2:1
    29.12.2023 Millwall - Norwich City 1:0
    20.08.2023 Norwich City - Millwall 3:1
    04.03.2023 Millwall - Norwich City 2:3
    Latest results of Norwich City
    Latest results of Millwall
    02.08.2025 Estoril Praia - Millwall 0:3
    29.07.2025 Sutton United - Millwall 2:6
    26.07.2025 Bromley - Millwall 1:2
    22.07.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Millwall 0:3
    18.07.2025 Elche - Millwall 2:1
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough31187649:301961
    2Coventry31178663:352859
    3Ipswich30159651:292254
    4Hull31166950:43754
    5Millwall31158839:36353
    6Wrexham311211844:39547
    7Preston311211838:34447
    8Bristol City311371143:38546
    9Southampton3212101048:44446
    10Birmingham3212101043:39446
    11Derby311291045:39645
    12Watford311111939:36344
    13QPR311281142:43-144
    14Stoke311271234:28643
    15Swansea311261338:37142
    16Norwich321161542:42039
    17Sheffield Utd311231644:45-139
    18Charlton30991229:38-936
    19West Brom32971632:47-1534
    20Portsmouth29891227:38-1133
    21Leicester321081444:51-732
    22Blackburn31881527:40-1332
    23Oxford Utd326101628:44-1628
    24Sheffield Wed31182218:62-44-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One