Norwich City vs Millwall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Norwich City - Millwall
Result
1:2
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 1
  • Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.49
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
83% (354/429)69% (198/286)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.271.00
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1631
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
155
Passes
83% (354/429)69% (198/286)
Long passes
32% (18/56)47% (34/72)
Passes in final third
66% (67/101)58% (59/102)
Crosses
29% (6/21)33% (11/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.95
Throw-ins
2228
Fouls
515
Tackles
50% (8/16)46% (11/24)
Duels won
5157
Clearances
4528
Interceptions
111
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.001.27
Goals prevented
-1.000.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Tanganga J. 🟨,
  • 40', Cooper J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 52', 0 - 1, Neghli C. , Crama T. (A),
  • 55', 1 - 1, Sargent J. ,
  • 59', Forson A. , Kvistgaarden M. ,
  • 70', Topic M. , Nunez M. ,
  • 70', Schlupp J. , Chrisene B. ,
  • 80', Neghli C. , Cundle L. ,
  • 80', Coburn J. , Langstaff M. ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Langstaff M. , Doughty A. (A),
  • 84', Crnac A. , Makama J. ,
  • 85', Stacey J. , Fisher K. ,
  • 87', Mitchell B. 🟨,
  • 89', Azeez F. , Emakhu A. ,
  • 89', Wright J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Mitchell B. , Luongo M. ,
  • 90+3', Doughty A. , Leonard R. ,
  • 90+7', Crama T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Norwich City
45.4%
Draw
28.7%
Millwall
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 27.7% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5% 30.3% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Norwich City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Norwich City - Millwall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.02)
    3.29
    (3.43)
    3.68
    (3.75)
    5.7%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Norwich City - Millwall?
  • Users Predictions: Norwich City will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.67%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Norwich City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 3.
    • Recent performances by Norwich have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Millwall is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Millwall may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Millwall has had a series of away games.
    • Norwich could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Norwich: Mahovo L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lovelace Z. (Knee Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Norwich: Springett T. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Millwall: Bryan J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 2.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Norwich won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 2.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Norwich City - Millwall were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Millwall - Norwich City 3:1
    26.12.2024 Norwich City - Millwall 2:1
    29.12.2023 Millwall - Norwich City 1:0
    20.08.2023 Norwich City - Millwall 3:1
    04.03.2023 Millwall - Norwich City 2:3
    Latest results of Norwich City
    Latest results of Millwall
    02.08.2025 Estoril Praia - Millwall 0:3
    29.07.2025 Sutton United - Millwall 2:6
    26.07.2025 Bromley - Millwall 1:2
    22.07.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Millwall 0:3
    18.07.2025 Elche - Millwall 2:1
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stoke22006:156
    2Middlesbrough22004:046
    3West Brom22004:226
    4Bristol City31205:235
    5Coventry21105:324
    6Birmingham21103:214
    7Hull21103:214
    8Preston21103:214
    9Southampton21103:214
    10Charlton21101:014
    11Leicester21013:303
    12Norwich21013:303
    13Portsmouth21012:203
    14Watford21012:203
    15Swansea21011:103
    16Millwall21012:4-23
    17Ipswich20202:202
    18QPR20112:3-11
    19Derby30125:9-41
    20Wrexham20023:5-20
    21Oxford Utd20022:4-20
    22Blackburn20021:3-20
    23Sheffield Utd20021:5-40
    24Sheffield Wed20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One