Norwid Częstochowa vs Jastrzębski Węgiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
21/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PlusLiga - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 2

Chances of winning


Norwid Częstochowa
39.3%
Jastrzębski Węgiel
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 56.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Norwid Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Norwid Częstochowa's form might have worsened.
  • Jastrzębski Węgiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jastrzębski Węgiel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwid Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jastrzębski Węgiel than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Norwid Częstochowa - Jastrzębski Węgiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.05)

    1.52
    (1.67)
    8.2%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 187.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwid Częstochowa won 1.
    • Recent form of Norwid Częstochowa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Jastrzębski's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Jastrzębski is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Norwid Częstochowa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 1.1:2.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Norwid Częstochowa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.7:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Norwid Częstochowa - Jastrzębski Węgiel were as follows:
    01.12.2025 Jastrzębski Węgiel - Norwid Częstochowa 3:2
    01.04.2025 Norwid Częstochowa - Jastrzębski Węgiel 2:3
    28.03.2025 Jastrzębski Węgiel - Norwid Częstochowa 3:0
    12.01.2025 Jastrzębski Węgiel - Norwid Częstochowa 3:1
    05.10.2024 Norwid Częstochowa - Jastrzębski Węgiel 3:2
    Latest results of Norwid Częstochowa
    Polish PlusLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPts
    1Zawiercie2217556:2350
    2Projekt Warszawa2216650:2846
    3Lublin2114752:3342
    4Olsztyn2114750:3739
    5Rzeszow2113846:3337
    6Gdansk2112947:4134
    7Jastrzebski22121043:4233
    8Belchatow1910936:3630
    9Kedzierzyn-Kozle2191246:4929
    10Slepsk Suwalki2271535:5225
    11Barkom2281437:5423
    12Cuprum Gorzow2171433:4823
    13ChKS Chelm2261628:5520
    14Norwid Czestochowa2141728:5616

          Promotion ~ PlusLiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ I. Liga