Orenburg-2 vs Nosta Novotroitsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
03/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Round 6

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Minatulaev O. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 90', 2 - 0, Gulko I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+1', 3 - 0, Pitintsev Y. ,
  • 90+2', Zverev S. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Orenburg-2
73.3%
Draw
15.7%
Nosta Novotroitsk
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 22.5% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5% 21.3% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orenburg-2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orenburg-2's performance.
  • Nosta Novotroitsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nosta Novotroitsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg-2 than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orenburg-2 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nosta Novotroitsk than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nosta Novotroitsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Orenburg-2 - Nosta Novotroitsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.64)
    6.1
    (4.05)
    8.75
    (4.12)
    4.2%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg-2 won 2.
    • Recent performances by Orenburg-2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Nosta has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Orenburg-2 is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Orenburg-2 won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg-2 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg-2 - Nosta Novotroitsk were as follows:
    06.10.2025 Orenburg-2 - Nosta Novotroitsk 2:0
    29.06.2025 Nosta Novotroitsk - Orenburg-2 3:2
    13.09.2024 Orenburg-2 - Nosta Novotroitsk 2:1
    08.06.2024 Nosta Novotroitsk - Orenburg-2 2:1
    13.08.2023 Nosta Novotroitsk - Orenburg-2 1:1
    Latest results of Orenburg-2
    Latest results of Nosta Novotroitsk