Jerv vs Notodden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1 Jerv - Notodden
Result
2:2
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 21

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
57
Corner Kicks
710
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
914
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
47
Corner Kicks
710

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Furaha J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 50', 1 - 1, ,
  • 53', 🟨,
  • 65', 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Jerv
73%
Draw
17.3%
Notodden
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.6% 20.2% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67% 19.2% 15.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jerv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jerv's performance.
  • Notodden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Notodden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jerv that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Notodden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jerv - Notodden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.43)
    5.52
    (4.5)
    9.87
    (5.6)
    4.8%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jerv won 3.
    • Recent performances by Jerv have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Notodden has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Jerv is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Jerv won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jerv won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jerv - Notodden were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Notodden - Jerv 2:3
    19.10.2024 Jerv - Notodden 0:0
    29.06.2024 Notodden - Jerv 0:1
    Latest results of Jerv
    13.09.2025 Eik-Tønsberg - Jerv 1:1
    07.09.2025 Jerv - Brattvåg 4:3
    31.08.2025 Sandnes Ulf - Jerv 4:0
    24.08.2025 Jerv - Lysekloster 0:1
    17.08.2025 Træff - Jerv 0:1
    Latest results of Notodden
    13.09.2025 Notodden - Sotra 1:1
    06.09.2025 Flekkerøy - Notodden 2:2
    31.08.2025 Notodden - Sandviken 0:1
    24.08.2025 Vard Haugesund - Notodden 1:1
    17.08.2025 Arendal - Notodden 4:1
    Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sandnes23155365:244150
    2Sotra23126545:212442
    3Brattvag23125656:421441
    4Jerv23125643:36741
    5Arendal23811452:292335
    6Lysekloster2387833:27631
    7Sandviken2377934:43-928
    8Eik-Tonsberg2369830:35-527
    9Traeff2359928:36-824
    10Pors2359933:44-1124
    11Notodden2259827:42-1524
    12Brann 222731232:56-2424
    13V. Haugesund23411832:42-1023
    14Flekkeroy23361427:60-3315

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