Michigan State Spartans vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
8:2
20/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 2nd Period (4 - 1)
  • 3rd Period (3 - 0)

Chances of winning


Michigan State Spartans
65.8%
Draw
17.5%
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.1% 18.2% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60% 19.7% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Michigan State Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • The chances for Notre Dame Fighting Irish have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michigan State Spartans than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michigan State Spartans that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notre Dame Fighting Irish than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Michigan State Spartans - Notre Dame Fighting Irish Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.4)
    5.2
    (5)
    5.47
    (5.45)
    9.7%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Michigan State won 5.
    • Michigan State is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Notre Dame is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Notre Dame may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Michigan State is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Michigan State will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Michigan State won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 61:34. (average 3.4:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Michigan State won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:13. (average 4.1:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Michigan State Spartans - Notre Dame Fighting Irish were as follows:
    19.02.2026 Michigan State Spartans - Notre Dame Fighting Irish 4:2
    15.11.2025 Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Michigan State Spartans 1:3
    14.11.2025 Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Michigan State Spartans 1:4
    01.03.2025 Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Michigan State Spartans 2:5
    28.02.2025 Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Michigan State Spartans 2:5
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesBentley Falcons5 : 1
    2Minnesota Duluth BulldogsPenn State Nittany Lions3 : 1
    3Western Michigan BroncosMinnesota State Mavericks3 : 1
    4Denver PioneersCornell Big Red5 : 0
    5Michigan State SpartansConnecticut Huskies2 : 1
    6Dartmouth Big GreenWisconsin Badgers1 : 5
    7North Dakota Fighting HawksMerrimack Warriors3 : 0
    8Providence FriarsQuinnipiac Bobcats2 : 5

    Quarter-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesMinnesota Duluth Bulldogs4 : 3
    2Western Michigan BroncosDenver Pioneers2 : 6
    3Michigan State SpartansWisconsin Badgers3 : 4
    4North Dakota Fighting HawksQuinnipiac Bobcats5 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesDenver Pioneers
    2Wisconsin BadgersNorth Dakota Fighting Hawks

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2