Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Penn State Nittany Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3 OT
28/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • Overtime (1 - 0)

Chances of winning


Notre Dame Fighting Irish
17.5%
Draw
18.1%
Penn State Nittany Lions
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.2% 18.3% 64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8% 20% 59%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notre Dame Fighting Irish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • The chances for Penn State Nittany Lions have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notre Dame Fighting Irish than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penn State Nittany Lions than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penn State Nittany Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Penn State Nittany Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.16
    (5.27)
    4.98
    (4.95)
    1.4
    (1.41)
    10.7%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notre Dame won 0.
    • Notre Dame has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Penn State has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Notre Dame may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Penn State is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Notre Dame won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 43:47. (average 3.1:3.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Notre Dame won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 4:3.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Penn State Nittany Lions were as follows:
    27.02.2026 Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Penn State Nittany Lions 3:4
    17.01.2026 Penn State Nittany Lions - Notre Dame Fighting Irish 6:3
    16.01.2026 Penn State Nittany Lions - Notre Dame Fighting Irish 4:1
    15.02.2025 Penn State Nittany Lions - Notre Dame Fighting Irish 3:2
    14.02.2025 Penn State Nittany Lions - Notre Dame Fighting Irish 5:3
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesBentley Falcons5 : 1
    2Minnesota Duluth BulldogsPenn State Nittany Lions3 : 1
    3Western Michigan BroncosMinnesota State Mavericks3 : 1
    4Denver PioneersCornell Big Red5 : 0
    5Michigan State SpartansConnecticut Huskies2 : 1
    6Dartmouth Big GreenWisconsin Badgers1 : 5
    7North Dakota Fighting HawksMerrimack Warriors3 : 0
    8Providence FriarsQuinnipiac Bobcats2 : 5

    Quarter-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesMinnesota Duluth Bulldogs4 : 3
    2Western Michigan BroncosDenver Pioneers2 : 6
    3Michigan State SpartansWisconsin Badgers3 : 4
    4North Dakota Fighting HawksQuinnipiac Bobcats5 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesDenver Pioneers
    2Wisconsin BadgersNorth Dakota Fighting Hawks

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2