Barnet vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Barnet - Notts County
Result
0:1
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 13
  • Referee: Woods M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.760.91
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
184
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
122
Passes
68% (259/381)58% (177/307)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.760.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.970.73
Total shots
184
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
112
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
122
Touches in opposition box
476
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1714
Passes
68% (259/381)58% (177/307)
Long passes
29% (24/82)15% (13/84)
Passes in final third
61% (131/215)30% (22/74)
Crosses
22% (7/32)57% (4/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.23
Throw-ins
3618
Fouls
1417
Tackles
75% (12/16)69% (20/29)
Duels won
7480
Clearances
1663
Interceptions
72
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.730.97
Goals prevented
-0.270.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', McDonald R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Crichlow-Noble R. 🟨,
  • 46', Iorpenda T. , Dennis M. ,
  • 53', Ndlovu L. 🟨,
  • 64', Senior A. 🟨,
  • 65', Jones J. , Kouhyar Q. ,
  • 65', Tsaroulla N. , Bennetts K. ,
  • 67', Crichlow-Noble R. , Smith K. ,
  • 74', Jatta A. , Grant C. ,
  • 77', Ndlovu L. , Hawkins O. ,
  • 86', Bedeau J. , Ness L. ,
  • 90+4', 0 - 1, Hall T. ,
  • 90+5', Hall T. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Hartigan A. , Shelton M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barnet
47.6%
Draw
27.9%
Notts County
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 26.9% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 25.1% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Barnet - Notts County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.05)
    3.35
    (3.47)
    3.89
    (3.39)
    5.7%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Barnet - Notts County?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Notts County will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 0.
    • Barnet has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Notts County's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Barnet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Barnet will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Barnet: Slicker C. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Notts County: Gordon K. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:37. (average 1.3:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.5:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barnet - Notts County were as follows:
    18.03.2023 Barnet - Notts County 1:1
    14.02.2023 Notts County - Barnet 4:1
    Latest results of Barnet
    Latest results of Notts County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League