Result
0:1
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 13
- Referee: Woods M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (259/381) | 58% (177/307) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 47 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (259/381) | 58% (177/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (24/82) | 15% (13/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (131/215) | 30% (22/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (7/32) | 57% (4/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 69% (20/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 74 | 80 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 63 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', McDonald R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Crichlow-Noble R. 🟨,
- 46', Iorpenda T. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
- 53', Ndlovu L. 🟨,
- 64', Senior A. 🟨,
- 65', Jones J. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
- 65', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
- 67', Crichlow-Noble R. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 74', Jatta A. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
- 77', Ndlovu L. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
- 86', Bedeau J. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
- 90+4', 0 - 1, Hall T. ⚽,
- 90+5', Hall T. 🟨,
- 90+6', Hartigan A. ↓, Shelton M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barnet
47.6% | Draw
27.9% | Notts County
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Barnet - Notts County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.05) |
3.35 ↓
(3.47) |
3.89 ↑
(3.39) |
5.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Barnet - Notts County?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Notts County will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Notts County will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 0.
- Barnet has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Notts County's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Barnet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Barnet will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Barnet: Slicker C.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Notts County: Gordon K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:37. (average 1.3:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.5:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Notts County?
Barnet has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Barnet?
Notts County has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barnet - Notts County were as follows:
18.03.2023
Barnet
-
Notts County
1:1
14.02.2023
Notts County
-
Barnet
4:1
Latest results of Notts County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
