Result
4:0
15/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 82', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 86', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+4', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Nouadhibou
51.4% | Draw
30.1% | Chemal
18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nouadhibou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nouadhibou's form might have worsened.Chemal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nouadhibou than the current prediction. (+12.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nouadhibou, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chemal than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chemal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nouadhibou - Chemal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.48) |
2.98 ↓
(3.58) |
4.88 ↓
(6.65) |
11.2%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nouadhibou won 5.
- Nouadhibou has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Chemal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nouadhibou may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nouadhibou is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Nouadhibou will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nouadhibou won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 1.9:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nouadhibou won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Nouadhibou won against Chemal?
Nouadhibou has won 7 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chemal won against Nouadhibou?
Chemal has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nouadhibou - Chemal were as follows:
03.11.2025
Chemal
-
Nouadhibou
0:3
05.04.2025
Nouadhibou
-
Chemal
1:0
02.12.2024
Chemal
-
Nouadhibou
0:2
04.05.2024
Chemal
-
Nouadhibou
0:1
03.04.2024
Nouadhibou
-
Chemal
1:0
Latest results of Nouadhibou
Mauritania Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nouadhibou | 18 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 30:6 | 24 | 42 |
| 2 | Douane | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 33:19 | 14 | 37 |
| 3 | Pompiers | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 22:17 | 5 | 32 |
| 4 | Nzeidane | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 26:25 | 1 | 30 |
| 5 | Police | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 25:20 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | SNIM | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | Nouakchott Academy | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 23:19 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Gendrim | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Chemal | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 20:24 | -4 | 23 |
| 10 | Tevragh-Zeina | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 11 | Nouakchott King's | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 20:24 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 | Kaedi | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14:26 | -12 | 15 |
| 13 | Inter Nouakchott | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 11 |
| 14 | Ksar | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13:31 | -18 | 10 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation
