Nova Cidade vs Friburguense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
08/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Carioca B1 - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Nova Cidade
57.7%
Draw
25.4%
Friburguense
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 29.2% 26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 24.7% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nova Cidade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nova Cidade's performance.
  • Friburguense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Friburguense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Cidade than the current prediction. (-19.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nova Cidade that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Friburguense than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Friburguense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nova Cidade - Friburguense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (2.02)
    3.59
    (3.1)
    5.38
    (3.46)
    9.6%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca B2).
    • Friburguense is Relegated to Carioca B2
    • Recent performances by Nova Cidade have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Friburguense is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Nova Cidade is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nova Cidade won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Nova Cidade won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nova Cidade - Friburguense were as follows:
    12.11.2024 Nova Cidade - Friburguense 1:1
    Latest results of Nova Cidade
    05.11.2025 Nova Cidade - Campo Grande 1:0
    25.10.2025 Bonsucesso - Nova Cidade 1:0
    18.10.2025 Nova Cidade - Artsul 0:0
    04.10.2025 Nova Cidade - Petrópolis 0:1
    Latest results of Friburguense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Bonsucesso (1)Duque de Caxias (4)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Sao Cristovao (2)Serrano FC (3)0 : 1, 0 : 1

    Final
    1Bonsucesso (1)Serrano FC (3)0 : 0, 1 : 2