Água Santa vs Nova Iguaçu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Água Santa - Nova Iguaçu
Result
2:1
19/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 13

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
87
Total shots
810
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
65
Corner Kicks
87
Goalkeeper Saves
40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45', 1 - 0, Joao Guilherme ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', 2 - 0, Felipinho (Pen),
  • 86', 2 - 1, Vini Charopem ,

Chances of winning


Água Santa
43.3%
Draw
29.6%
Nova Iguaçu
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 26.9% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51% 26% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Água Santa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Água Santa's form might have worsened.
  • Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Água Santa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Água Santa - Nova Iguaçu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.83)
    3.08
    (3.35)
    3.37
    (3.75)
    9.6%
    (11.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Água Santa - Nova Iguaçu?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 6).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Água Santa is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Água Santa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Água Santa - Nova Iguaçu were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Nova Iguaçu - Água Santa 1:2
    Latest results of Água Santa
    12.07.2025 Portuguesa - Água Santa 2:1
    14.06.2025 Água Santa - Boavista 2:0
    07.06.2025 Maricá - Água Santa 0:1
    31.05.2025 Água Santa - Maricá 1:1
    Latest results of Nova Iguaçu
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Tuna LusoMaranhao1 : 4
    2LagartoCentral SC0 : 1
    3ImperatrizManaus2 : 0
    4America RNJuazeirense1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe1 : 2
    7ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 1
    8ASAFerroviario1 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 1
    11Rio Branco ESLuverdense0 : 0
    12Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville1 : 1
    15CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 1
    16Barra FCCascavel1 : 0