Nova Iguaçu vs Madureira – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Carioca Nova Iguaçu - Madureira
Result
1:2
08/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Carioca - Taca Rio - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
146
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
83
Blocked Shots
20
Corner Kicks
50
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Offsides
02
Fouls
55
Yellow Cards
23
Passes
85% (224/263)87% (212/244)

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Marcelo , Celsinho (A),
  • 25', 1 - 1, Kennyd , Xandinho (A),
  • 38', Mateus Muller 🟨,
  • 45', Andrey 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Welington Zaru , Fuba ,
  • 47', Guilherme Henrique , Yan Silva ,
  • 58', Celsinho 🟨,
  • 64', Minho , Hugo Cabral ,
  • 64', Jean , Caua Coutinho ,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Renato Henrique , Marcelo (A),
  • 72', Xandinho , Joao Pedro ,
  • 72', Igor Guilherme , Kauan ,
  • 72', Kennyd , Caio Hones ,
  • 73', Felipe C. 🟨,
  • 83', Jorge Pedra , Joao Lucas ,
  • 85', Renato Henrique , da Silva Freire M. V. ,
  • 90', Jefferson Victor , Flavio Souza ,
  • 90+1', Fuba 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nova Iguaçu
39.1%
Draw
31.8%
Madureira
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 27.6% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 26.7% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nova Iguaçu's form might have worsened.
  • Madureira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nova Iguaçu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madureira than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Nova Iguaçu - Madureira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.03)
    2.95
    (3.37)
    3.22
    (3.48)
    6.7%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nova Iguaçu won 4.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Madureira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Nova Iguaçu will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Nova Iguaçu won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:8 (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nova Iguaçu won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:4 (average 1.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nova Iguaçu - Madureira were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Madureira - Nova Iguaçu 0:0
    23.02.2025 Nova Iguaçu - Madureira 2:1
    08.02.2024 Nova Iguaçu - Madureira 1:0
    09.03.2023 Nova Iguaçu - Madureira 4:0
    Latest results of Nova Iguaçu
    Latest results of Madureira
    01.03.2025 Madureira - Nova Iguaçu 0:0
    23.02.2025 Nova Iguaçu - Madureira 2:1
    15.02.2025 Bangu - Madureira 0:3
    09.02.2025 Botafogo RJ - Madureira 0:2
    Draw
    Taca Guanabara - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Flamengo RJVasco2 : 1, 1 : 0
    2Volta RedondaFluminense0 : 0, 0 : 4

    Final
    1Flamengo RJFluminense0 : 0, 2 : 1