Result
1:2
08/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Carioca - Taca Rio - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
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Ball Possession |
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49% | 51% |
Goal Attempts |
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14 | 6 |
Shots on Goal |
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4 | 3 |
Shots off Goal |
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8 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 3 |
Offsides |
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0 | 2 |
Fouls |
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5 | 5 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 3 |
Passes |
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85% (224/263) | 87% (212/244) |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Marcelo ⚽, Celsinho (A),
- 25', 1 - 1, Kennyd ⚽, Xandinho (A),
- 38', Mateus Muller 🟨,
- 45', Andrey 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Welington Zaru ↓, Fuba ↑,
- 47', Guilherme Henrique ↓, Yan Silva ↑,
- 58', Celsinho 🟨,
- 64', Minho ↓, Hugo Cabral ↑,
- 64', Jean ↓, Caua Coutinho ↑,
- 68', 1 - 2, Renato Henrique ⚽, Marcelo (A),
- 72', Xandinho ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
- 72', Igor Guilherme ↓, Kauan ↑,
- 72', Kennyd ↓, Caio Hones ↑,
- 73', Felipe C. 🟨,
- 83', Jorge Pedra ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
- 85', Renato Henrique ↓, da Silva Freire M. V. ↑,
- 90', Jefferson Victor ↓, Flavio Souza ↑,
- 90+1', Fuba 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nova Iguaçu 39.1% | Draw 31.8% | Madureira 29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nova Iguaçu's form might have worsened.Madureira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nova Iguaçu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madureira than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Nova Iguaçu - Madureira Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.4 ↑ (2.03) |
2.95 ↓ (3.37) |
3.22 ↓ (3.48) |
6.7% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nova Iguaçu won 4.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Madureira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Nova Iguaçu will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Nova Iguaçu won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:8 (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nova Iguaçu won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:4 (average 1.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Nova Iguaçu won against Madureira?
Nova Iguaçu has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Madureira won against Nova Iguaçu?
Madureira has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nova Iguaçu - Madureira were as follows:
01.03.2025
Madureira
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Nova Iguaçu
0:0
23.02.2025
Nova Iguaçu
-
Madureira
2:1
08.02.2024
Nova Iguaçu
-
Madureira
1:0
09.03.2023
Nova Iguaçu
-
Madureira
4:0
Latest results of Nova Iguaçu
Latest results of Madureira
Draw
Taca Guanabara - Play OffsSemi-finals1 | Flamengo RJ | Vasco | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
2 | Volta Redonda | Fluminense | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
Final1 | Flamengo RJ | Fluminense | 0 : 0, 2 : 1 |