Result
26/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Carioca - Relegation Group - Round 4
Chances of winning
Nova Iguaçu
35.6% | Draw
33.2% | Portuguesa RJ
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nova Iguaçu's form might have worsened.Portuguesa RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portuguesa RJ's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nova Iguaçu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portuguesa RJ, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nova Iguaçu - Portuguesa RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.13) |
2.77 ↓
(3.05) |
2.95 ↓
(3.58) |
8.7%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Nova Iguaçu - Portuguesa RJ?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Portuguesa RJ (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Portuguesa RJ (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nova Iguaçu won 2.
- Recent form of Nova Iguaçu has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Portuguesa RJ is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Nova Iguaçu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Nova Iguaçu won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nova Iguaçu won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Nova Iguaçu won against Portuguesa RJ?
Nova Iguaçu has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portuguesa RJ won against Nova Iguaçu?
Portuguesa RJ has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nova Iguaçu - Portuguesa RJ were as follows:
11.02.2026
Portuguesa RJ
-
Nova Iguaçu
1:1
07.02.2026
Portuguesa RJ
-
Nova Iguaçu
1:0
02.02.2025
Portuguesa RJ
-
Nova Iguaçu
0:1
06.07.2024
Nova Iguaçu
-
Portuguesa RJ
1:0
11.05.2024
Portuguesa RJ
-
Nova Iguaçu
1:0
Latest results of Nova Iguaçu
Latest results of Portuguesa RJ
Draw
Taca Guanabara - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Bangu | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Vasco | Volta Redonda | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Botafogo RJ | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Madureira | Boavista | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Vasco | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | Madureira | 3 : 0 |
Final
