Result
1:1
26/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Carioca - Relegation Group - Round 4
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (360/414) | 81% (251/309) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (360/414) | 81% (251/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (30/51) | 51% (21/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (68/98) | 69% (48/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Uelber 🟨,
- 28', Jorge Pedra 🟨,
- 31', Iago Lacerda 🟨,
- 32', Henrique C. 🟨,
- 32', Luan Capanni 🟨,
- 40', Lohan 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Augusto ↓, Pedro Thomaz ↑,
- 46', Romarinho ↓, Wellington Cezar ↑,
- 46', Joao Paulo ↓, Gustavo Aguiar ↑,
- 65', Leo Rafael ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
- 65', Luan Capanni ↓, Vini Charopem ↑,
- 65', Iago Lacerda ↓, Bill ↑,
- 67', Alex Reinaldo ↓, Lenon ↑,
- 73', Guilherme Kayron 🟨,
- 74', Uelber ↓, Leo Muchacho ↑,
- 79', Gustavo Aguiar 🟨,
- 83', 1 - 0, Vini Charopem (Penalty Awarded),
- 85', Bill ↓, Daniel Zavoli ↑,
- 87', Henrique Rocha ↓, Chay ↑,
- 90', Mota 🟨,
- 90+3', Lenon 🟨,
- 90+3', Wender 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Lohan ⚽,
- 90+12', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nova Iguaçu
35.5% | Draw
32.8% | Portuguesa RJ
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nova Iguaçu's form might have worsened.Portuguesa RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portuguesa RJ's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nova Iguaçu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portuguesa RJ, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nova Iguaçu - Portuguesa RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↑
(2.13) |
2.81 ↓
(3.05) |
2.91 ↓
(3.58) |
8.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Nova Iguaçu - Portuguesa RJ?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Portuguesa RJ (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Portuguesa RJ (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nova Iguaçu won 2.
- Recent form of Nova Iguaçu has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Portuguesa RJ is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Nova Iguaçu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Nova Iguaçu won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nova Iguaçu won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Nova Iguaçu won against Portuguesa RJ?
Nova Iguaçu has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portuguesa RJ won against Nova Iguaçu?
Portuguesa RJ has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nova Iguaçu - Portuguesa RJ were as follows:
11.02.2026
Portuguesa RJ
-
Nova Iguaçu
1:1
07.02.2026
Portuguesa RJ
-
Nova Iguaçu
1:0
02.02.2025
Portuguesa RJ
-
Nova Iguaçu
0:1
06.07.2024
Nova Iguaçu
-
Portuguesa RJ
1:0
11.05.2024
Portuguesa RJ
-
Nova Iguaçu
1:0
Latest results of Nova Iguaçu
Latest results of Portuguesa RJ
Draw
Taca Guanabara - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Bangu | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Vasco | Volta Redonda | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Botafogo RJ | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Madureira | Boavista | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Vasco | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | Madureira | 8 : 0, 3 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Fluminense | Flamengo RJ | 0 : 1 |
