Result
1:1
23/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Carioca - Relegation Group - Round 3
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (226/292) | 80% (316/393) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (226/292) | 80% (316/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (20/45) | 44% (28/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (59/88) | 66% (72/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 35% (8/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.71 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Lucas Cruz ⚽,
- 32', Davi Soares 🟨,
- 35', Daniel Nunes 🟨,
- 43', Sidney Pages ↓, Ze Gabriel ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Leo Rafael ↓, Pedro Thomaz ↑,
- 46', Gabriel Agu ↓, Alan ↑,
- 46', Rodrigo Andrade ↓, Marcellinho ↑,
- 46', Matheus Goiano ↓, Matheus Iacovelli ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Cruz Manhaes O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 64', Augusto 🟨,
- 66', Pablo ↓, Joao Martini ↑,
- 69', Augusto ↓, Guilherme Kayron ↑,
- 72', Cruz Manhaes O. ↓, Ewerton Potiguar ↑,
- 80', Luan Capanni ↓, Thomasel ↑,
- 80', Iago Lacerda ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
- 84', Marcellinho 🟨,
- 87', Matheus Iacovelli 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sampaio Corrêa FE
35.9% | Draw
31.4% | Nova Iguaçu
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampaio Corrêa FE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)The chances for Nova Iguaçu have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Sampaio Corrêa FE - Nova Iguaçu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.5) |
2.88 ↑
(2.75) |
2.77 ↑
(2.7) |
10.4%
(13.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sampaio Corrêa FE - Nova Iguaçu?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Sampaio Corrêa (1.91) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DC - Sampaio Corrêa (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Nova Iguaçu (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 0.
- Recent performances by Sampaio Corrêa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nova Iguaçu's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Nova Iguaçu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sampaio Corrêa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sampaio Corrêa FE won against Nova Iguaçu?
Sampaio Corrêa FE has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nova Iguaçu won against Sampaio Corrêa FE?
Nova Iguaçu has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sampaio Corrêa FE - Nova Iguaçu were as follows:
15.01.2026
Sampaio Corrêa FE
-
Nova Iguaçu
1:3
15.01.2025
Nova Iguaçu
-
Sampaio Corrêa FE
1:0
18.01.2024
Nova Iguaçu
-
Sampaio Corrêa FE
2:1
Latest results of Sampaio Corrêa FE
Latest results of Nova Iguaçu
Draw
Taca Guanabara - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Bangu | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Vasco | Volta Redonda | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Botafogo RJ | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Madureira | Boavista | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Vasco | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | Madureira | 8 : 0, 3 : 0 |
Final
