Result
2:0
08/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Carioca - Relegation Group - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Premiere |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (382/442) | 80% (250/313) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (382/442) | 80% (250/313) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (31/62) | 47% (28/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (86/117) | 65% (74/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.56 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Iago Lacerda ⚽, Lucas Cruz (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lecaros A. ↓, Ewerton Potiguar ↑,
- 56', Lucas Carvalho 🟨,
- 62', Rodrigo Andrade ↓, Magno ↑,
- 64', 2 - 0, Xandinho ⚽, Wender (A),
- 66', Lucas Cruz ↓, Rickelme Lopes ↑,
- 69', Pedro Thomaz 🟨,
- 70', Cruz Manhaes O. ↓, Alan ↑,
- 71', Pablo ↓, Paulo Henrique ↑,
- 74', Iago Lacerda 🟨,
- 84', Iago Lacerda ↓, Daniel Zavoli ↑,
- 84', Vini Charopem ↓, Thomasel ↑,
- 84', Elias ↓, Matheus Goiano ↑,
- 89', Wender ↓, Lucas Cirilo ↑,
- 90', Yan Silva ↓, Augusto ↑,
- 90+2', Leo Rafael 🟨,
- 90+3', Lucas Cirilo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nova Iguaçu
57.4% | Draw
25.8% | Sampaio Corrêa FE
16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nova Iguaçu's performance.Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sampaio Corrêa FE might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nova Iguaçu that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampaio Corrêa FE could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nova Iguaçu - Sampaio Corrêa FE Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.91) |
3.56 ↑
(3.16) |
5.47 ↑
(3.97) |
8.9%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nova Iguaçu won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Nova Iguaçu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Sampaio Corrêa has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Nova Iguaçu is considered a favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nova Iguaçu won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:10. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nova Iguaçu won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nova Iguaçu won against Sampaio Corrêa FE?
Nova Iguaçu has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sampaio Corrêa FE won against Nova Iguaçu?
Sampaio Corrêa FE has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nova Iguaçu - Sampaio Corrêa FE were as follows:
23.02.2026
Sampaio Corrêa FE
-
Nova Iguaçu
1:1
15.01.2026
Sampaio Corrêa FE
-
Nova Iguaçu
1:3
15.01.2025
Nova Iguaçu
-
Sampaio Corrêa FE
1:0
18.01.2024
Nova Iguaçu
-
Sampaio Corrêa FE
2:1
Latest results of Nova Iguaçu
Latest results of Sampaio Corrêa FE
Draw
Taca Guanabara - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Bangu | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Vasco | Volta Redonda | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Botafogo RJ | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Madureira | Boavista | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Vasco | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | Madureira | 8 : 0, 3 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Fluminense | Flamengo RJ | 0 : 1 |
