Result
3:2
28/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
Chances of winning
Nova Mutum
38.7% | Draw
32.8% | Chapada
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nova Mutum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nova Mutum's performance.Chapada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chapada might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Mutum than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nova Mutum that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapada than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chapada could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nova Mutum - Chapada Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.7) |
2.76 ↓
(2.95) |
3.19 ↑
(2.35) |
10.2%
(13.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Matogrossense 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Recent form of Nova Mutum has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Chapada's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Chapada may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Nova Mutum won against Chapada?
Nova Mutum has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapada won against Nova Mutum?
Chapada has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nova Mutum - Chapada were as follows:
Latest results of Nova Mutum
Latest results of Chapada
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Luverdense (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Sport Sinop (4) | Cuiaba (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Mixto (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Operario VG (3) | Nova Mutum (6) | 3 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Luverdense (1) | Sport Sinop (4) | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Mixto (2) | Operario VG (3) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Final
