Cuiabá vs Nova Mutum – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
31/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Matogrossense - Round 7

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Luiz Felipe ,
  • 35', 2 - 0, Mateus Santos ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Yan Suhet ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 90+6', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Cuiabá
74.5%
Draw
17.7%
Nova Mutum
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.3% 19.7% 11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5% 18.6% 10.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cuiabá's performance.
  • Nova Mutum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Mutum than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Cuiabá - Nova Mutum Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.33)
    5.16
    (4.68)
    11.69
    (8.36)
    9.6%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Matogrossense 2)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Nova Mutum may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Cuiabá is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 2.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cuiabá won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Nova Mutum were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Cuiabá - Nova Mutum 5:0
    21.09.2024 Cuiabá - Nova Mutum 0:1
    24.02.2024 Cuiabá - Nova Mutum 2:2
    16.02.2023 Nova Mutum - Cuiabá 1:3
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    24.01.2026 Chapada - Cuiabá 2:2
    21.01.2026 Cuiabá - Sport Sinop 0:1
    18.01.2026 Mixto - Cuiabá 0:0
    14.01.2026 Cuiabá - Operário Ltda 1:0
    Latest results of Nova Mutum
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Luverdense (1)Bye
    2Sport Sinop (4)Cuiaba (5)1 : 0
    3Mixto (2)Bye
    4Operario VG (3)Nova Mutum (6)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Luverdense (1)Sport Sinop (4)2 : 2, 1 : 0
    2Mixto (2)Operario VG (3)2 : 1, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Luverdense (1)Mixto (2)