Primavera AC vs Nova Mutum – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense Primavera AC - Nova Mutum
Result
5:1
05/03/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Matogrossense - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Natan Bahia ,
  • 18', 2 - 0, Natan Bahia ,
  • 22', 🟨,
  • 40', Jordan 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Bruno Rosa , Danilinho ,
  • 52', 🟨,
  • 55', 3 - 0, Giovanni ,
  • 63', 4 - 0, Danilinho ,
  • 70', 4 - 1, Vini (Pen),
  • 82', 5 - 1, Ricardo Liell ,
  • 86', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Primavera AC
45.8%
Draw
31.8%
Nova Mutum
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 31% 26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 29.8% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Primavera AC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Nova Mutum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Primavera AC than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Mutum than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Primavera AC - Nova Mutum Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.1)
    2.87
    (2.9)
    4.09
    (3.45)
    9.6%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Recent matches Primavera is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Nova Mutum is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Primavera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Primavera have a series of guest games.
    • Primavera will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Primavera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Primavera AC - Nova Mutum were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Nova Mutum - Primavera AC 1:4
    04.02.2024 Nova Mutum - Primavera AC 1:0
    Latest results of Primavera AC
    Latest results of Nova Mutum
    15.02.2025 Nova Mutum - Primavera AC 1:4
    08.02.2025 Cuiabá - Nova Mutum 5:0
    25.01.2025 Nova Mutum - Sport Sinop 1:0
    18.01.2025 Luverdense - Nova Mutum 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Cuiaba (2)Bye
    2Operario VG (3)Uniao Rondonopolis (6)0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3Mixto (1)Bye
    4Primavera AC (4)Nova Mutum (5)5 : 1, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cuiaba (2)Operario VG (3)2 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Mixto (1)Primavera AC (4)2 : 3, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Cuiaba (2)Primavera AC (4)0 : 2, 2 : 1

    3rd place
    2Operario VG (3)Mixto (1)2 : 3, 0 : 0