Vitória ES vs Nova Venécia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba Vitória ES - Nova Venécia
Result
5:1
23/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Capixaba - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
189
Shots on Goal
94
Shots off Goal
95
Corner Kicks
66
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Yellow Cards
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', Moura T. 🟨,
  • 22', 1 - 0, Tony ,
  • 27', Gualberto 🟨,
  • 29', Jonata 🟨,
  • 36', 2 - 0, Gustavo Toro (Own goal),
  • 40', Lyncon , Coutinho ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 54', Wendson 🟨,
  • 55', 2 - 1, Gustavo Toro ,
  • 58', 🟨,
  • 59', 3 - 1, Jonata ,
  • 68', 4 - 1, Tony ,
  • 70', Tony , Edinho ,
  • 90+4', 5 - 1, Edinho ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vitória ES
61.9%
Draw
23.3%
Nova Venécia
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 25.6% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 17.2% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitória ES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória ES's performance.
  • Nova Venécia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória ES than the current prediction. (-24.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória ES that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Venécia than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nova Venécia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vitória ES - Nova Venécia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.62)
    3.96
    (3.56)
    6.19
    (5.02)
    8.7%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitória ES won 2.
    • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
    • In this match Vitória ES is a favorite.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Vitória ES won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:14 (average 1.4:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vitória ES won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória ES - Nova Venécia were as follows:
    27.01.2024 Nova Venécia - Vitória ES 2:2
    08.04.2023 Vitória ES - Nova Venécia 2:1
    01.04.2023 Nova Venécia - Vitória ES 3:1
    16.02.2023 Nova Venécia - Vitória ES 2:1
    Latest results of Vitória ES
    18.02.2025 Jaguare - Vitória ES 1:0
    12.02.2025 Vitória ES - Capixaba SC 1:2
    04.02.2025 Vitória ES - Vilavelhense 4:0
    01.02.2025 Vitória ES - Noroeste 1:2
    Latest results of Nova Venécia
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Desportiva Ferroviaria (1)Vilavelhense (8)2 : 1, 4 : 1
    2Capixaba SC (4)Rio Branco ES (5)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    3Rio Branco-VN (3)Vitoria ES (6)0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4Real Noroeste (2)Porto Vitoria (7)1 : 1, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Desportiva Ferroviaria (1)Rio Branco ES (5)0 : 1, 2 : 2
    2Vitoria ES (6)Porto Vitoria (7)0 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Rio Branco ES (5)Porto Vitoria (7)2 : 0, 0 : 1