Result
3:1
28/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 34
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', Cannavaro A. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Cali M. ⚽,
- 17', Vassallo F. 🟨,
- 25', Lanini E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 25', 1 - 1, Lanini E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Vassallo F. ↓, Ruiz Giraldo P. ↑,
- 46', Basso G. ↓, Di Cosmo L. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 1, Ekuban J. ⚽,
- 63', Valdesi A. ↓, D'Alessio L. ↑,
- 63', Lanini E. ↓, Morosini L. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 1, Bonetti A. ⚽,
- 71', Cannavaro A. ↓, Alberti T. ↑,
- 76', Vesentini F. ↓, Spedalieri J. ↑,
- 76', Karlsson O. ↓, De Leo L. ↑,
- 85', Ledonne N. ↓, Dell'Erba D. ↑,
- 85', Ekuban J. ↓, Muhameti E. ↑,
- 88', Delcarro A. ↓, Rossi G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Renate
36.4% | Draw
30.7% | Novara
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Renate's form might have worsened.Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Renate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Novara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Renate - Novara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.1) |
3 ↓
(3.26) |
2.8 ↓
(3.3) |
8.6%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Renate - Novara?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Renate will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Novara (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Novara (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renate won 1.
- In recent matches, Renate has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Novara is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Renate won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Renate won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Renate won against Novara?
Renate has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Novara won against Renate?
Novara has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Renate - Novara were as follows:
23.11.2025
Novara
-
Renate
0:1
23.02.2025
Novara
-
Renate
1:0
11.10.2024
Renate
-
Novara
0:1
10.08.2024
Renate
-
Novara
2:3
06.03.2024
Novara
-
Renate
1:1
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza ✔ | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 63:25 | 38 | 85 |
| 2 | Brescia | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 46:24 | 22 | 63 |
| 3 | Lecco | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 45:29 | 16 | 63 |
| 4 | Trento | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 61 |
| 5 | Renate | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 57 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 56 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 52 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 32:26 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Inter U23 | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 40:37 | 3 | 48 |
| 10 | AlbinoLeffe | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 47:47 | 0 | 47 |
| 11 | Giana Erminio | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 34:39 | -5 | 46 |
| 12 | Ospitaletto | 36 | 10 | 15 | 11 | 41:40 | 1 | 45 |
| 13 | Novara | 36 | 8 | 20 | 8 | 38:38 | 0 | 44 |
| 14 | Arzignano | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 43:46 | -3 | 44 |
| 15 | Pro Vercelli | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 37:50 | -13 | 43 |
| 16 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 17 | Pergolettese | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 34:50 | -16 | 37 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona ✔ | 36 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 32:57 | -25 | 24 |
| 19 | Pro Patria ✔ | 35 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 27:63 | -36 | 20 |
| 20 | Triestina ✔ | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
L.R. Vicenza is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
Virtus Verona is Serie C ~ Play Out
Pro Patria is Serie C ~ Play Out
Triestina is Relegated to
