Novara vs Renate – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
23/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySKY Go Italia

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
35
Corner Kicks
48
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
810
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Donadio C. 🟨,
  • 34', Citi A. 🟨,
  • 44', Kolaj A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', Kolaj A. , De Leo L. ,
  • 62', Esposito G. , Rossi G. ,
  • 66', Bonetti A. 🟨,
  • 68', Bonetti A. , Cali M. ,
  • 69', Karlsson O. , Anelli N. ,
  • 72', Basso G. , Ranieri R. ,
  • 74', Alberti T. , Morosini L. ,
  • 76', Rossi G. 🟨,
  • 78', 0 - 1, De Leo L. ,
  • 82', Mastromonaco G. , Ghezzi A. ,
  • 87', Cannavaro A. , Bertoncini D. ,
  • 87', Valdesi A. , Arboscello R. ,
  • 89', Bertoncini D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Novara
41.8%
Draw
31.6%
Renate
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 31.2% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 29.6% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Novara - Renate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.04)
    2.92
    (2.98)
    3.46
    (3.98)
    8.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Novara - Renate?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novara won 3.
    • Novara is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Renate has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Novara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Novara might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Novara won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Novara won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Novara - Renate were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Novara - Renate 1:0
    11.10.2024 Renate - Novara 0:1
    10.08.2024 Renate - Novara 2:3
    06.03.2024 Novara - Renate 1:1
    28.10.2023 Renate - Novara 2:2
    Latest results of Novara
    16.11.2025 Alcione - Novara 0:1
    09.11.2025 Novara - Lecco 1:0
    01.11.2025 Pergolettese - Novara 2:2
    24.10.2025 Novara - Virtus Verona 1:1
    Latest results of Renate
    16.11.2025 Vicenza Virtus - Renate 1:0
    08.11.2025 Renate - Virtus Verona 1:0
    02.11.2025 Lumezzane - Renate 0:0
    29.10.2025 Renate - Juventus U23 2:1
    25.10.2025 Renate - Lecco 0:1
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza ✔ 33256259:213881
    2Brescia331611643:212259
    3Lecco33169840:271357
    4Trento331413650:361455
    5Cittadella331581040:35553
    6Renate331411843:311253
    7Alcione Milano331481131:22950
    8Lumezzane3311121035:34145
    9Giana Erminio331291231:33-245
    10Novara33820535:29644
    11AlbinoLeffe3311101243:43043
    12Inter U233310121136:36042
    13Pro Vercelli331261536:47-1142
    14Arzignano331171541:45-440
    15Dolomiti Bellunesi331081534:52-1838
    16Ospitaletto338141135:38-338
    17Pergolettese33891630:44-1433
    18Virtus Verona333131730:50-2022
    19Pro Patria333102025:60-3519
    20Triestina ✔ 33781836:49-136

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    L.R. Vicenza is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
    Triestina is Relegated to