Result
1:1
17/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Agyemang G. 🟨,
- 19', Di Cosmo L. 🟨,
- 36', Capone C. ↓, Chinetti F. ↑,
- 39', 1 - 0, Aucelli C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', Fiamozzi R. 🟨,
- 56', Di Cosmo L. ↓, Arboscello R. ↑,
- 56', Donadio C. ↓, Lanini E. ↑,
- 56', Perini G. ↓, Alberti T. ↑,
- 69', Sangalli M. 🟥,
- 72', 1 - 1, Alberti T. ⚽,
- 74', Aucelli C. ↓, Fossati M. ↑,
- 81', Lanini E. 🟨,
- 87', Pellegrini J. ↓, Corallo C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Trento
46.5% | Draw
28.5% | Novara
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trento than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Trento - Novara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.06) |
3.21 ↓
(3.24) |
3.67 ↑
(3.41) |
9.3%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Trento - Novara?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Trento (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trento won 1.
- Trento is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Novara has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Trento might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Trento won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Trento won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Trento won against Novara?
Trento has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Novara won against Trento?
Novara has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trento - Novara were as follows:
07.09.2025
Novara
-
Trento
1:1
18.04.2025
Novara
-
Trento
3:0
06.12.2024
Trento
-
Novara
1:3
21.01.2024
Trento
-
Novara
1:1
17.09.2023
Novara
-
Trento
0:3
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza ✔ | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 63:25 | 38 | 85 |
| 2 | Brescia | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 46:24 | 22 | 63 |
| 3 | Lecco | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 45:29 | 16 | 63 |
| 4 | Trento | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 61 |
| 5 | Renate | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 57 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 56 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 52 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 32:26 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Inter U23 | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 40:38 | 2 | 48 |
| 10 | AlbinoLeffe | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 47:47 | 0 | 47 |
| 11 | Arzignano | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 44:46 | -2 | 47 |
| 12 | Giana Erminio | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 34:39 | -5 | 46 |
| 13 | Ospitaletto | 36 | 10 | 15 | 11 | 41:40 | 1 | 45 |
| 14 | Novara | 36 | 8 | 20 | 8 | 38:38 | 0 | 44 |
| 15 | Pro Vercelli | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 37:50 | -13 | 43 |
| 16 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 17 | Pergolettese | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 34:50 | -16 | 37 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona ✔ | 36 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 32:57 | -25 | 24 |
| 19 | Pro Patria ✔ | 35 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 27:63 | -36 | 20 |
| 20 | Triestina ✔ | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
L.R. Vicenza is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
Virtus Verona is Serie C ~ Play Out
Pro Patria is Serie C ~ Play Out
Triestina is Relegated to
