Result
0:1
15/02/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258, Sky Sport Calcio |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Tonetto M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Alberti T. ↓, da Graca C. ↑,
- 56', Faggioli A. ↓, Kljajic N. ↑,
- 59', Lanini E. ↓, Morosini L. ↑,
- 61', Morosini L. 🟨,
- 68', Voca I. 🟨,
- 70', 0 - 1, da Graca C. ⚽,
- 71', Ascione S. ↓, Jamaal M. ↑,
- 71', Anton A. ↓, Kosijer S. ↑,
- 77', Ledonne N. ↓, Dell'Erba D. ↑,
- 77', Jamaal M. 🟨,
- 84', Davis H. ↓, Vertainen E. ↑,
- 85', Ranieri R. ↓, Arboscello R. ↑,
- 90+5', D'Amore F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Triestina
35.4% | Draw
32.3% | Novara
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Novara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Triestina - Novara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↓
(2.67) |
2.84 ↓
(3.19) |
2.84 ↑
(2.46) |
9.1%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Triestina - Novara?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Triestina (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Triestina (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Triestina will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Triestina (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Novara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Triestina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 3.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Triestina won against Novara?
Triestina has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Novara won against Triestina?
Novara has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Triestina - Novara were as follows:
05.10.2025
Novara
-
Triestina
0:0
25.04.2025
Triestina
-
Novara
6:0
14.12.2024
Novara
-
Triestina
2:3
20.04.2024
Triestina
-
Novara
2:2
17.12.2023
Novara
-
Triestina
2:3
Latest results of Triestina
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 49:15 | 34 | 72 |
| 2 | Brescia | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 43:20 | 23 | 56 |
| 3 | Lecco | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Trento | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 42:29 | 13 | 48 |
| 5 | Alcione Milano | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 30:18 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | Renate | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37:26 | 11 | 48 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 46 |
| 8 | Inter U23 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 33:30 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Lumezzane | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Pro Vercelli | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 32:42 | -10 | 38 |
| 12 | Novara | 29 | 6 | 18 | 5 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 13 | Ospitaletto | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 34 |
| 14 | AlbinoLeffe | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 34 |
| 15 | Arzignano | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 39:44 | -5 | 34 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 24:46 | -22 | 29 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 21 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 23:54 | -31 | 18 |
| 20 | Triestina | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 30:41 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
