Result
0:1
15/02/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258, Sky Sport Calcio |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Tonetto M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Alberti T. ↓, da Graca C. ↑,
- 56', Faggioli A. ↓, Kljajic N. ↑,
- 59', Lanini E. ↓, Morosini L. ↑,
- 61', Morosini L. 🟨,
- 68', Voca I. 🟨,
- 70', 0 - 1, da Graca C. ⚽,
- 71', Ascione S. ↓, Jamaal M. ↑,
- 71', Anton A. ↓, Kosijer S. ↑,
- 77', Ledonne N. ↓, Dell'Erba D. ↑,
- 77', Jamaal M. 🟨,
- 84', Davis H. ↓, Vertainen E. ↑,
- 85', Ranieri R. ↓, Arboscello R. ↑,
- 90+5', D'Amore F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Triestina
35.4% | Draw
32.3% | Novara
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Novara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Triestina - Novara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↓
(2.67) |
2.84 ↓
(3.19) |
2.84 ↑
(2.46) |
9.1%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Triestina - Novara?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Triestina (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Triestina will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Triestina will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Triestina (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Novara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Triestina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 3.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Triestina won against Novara?
Triestina has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Novara won against Triestina?
Novara has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Triestina - Novara were as follows:
05.10.2025
Novara
-
Triestina
0:0
25.04.2025
Triestina
-
Novara
6:0
14.12.2024
Novara
-
Triestina
2:3
20.04.2024
Triestina
-
Novara
2:2
17.12.2023
Novara
-
Triestina
2:3
Latest results of Triestina
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza ✔ | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 59:21 | 38 | 81 |
| 2 | Brescia | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 43:21 | 22 | 59 |
| 3 | Lecco | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 40:27 | 13 | 57 |
| 4 | Trento | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 50:36 | 14 | 55 |
| 5 | Cittadella | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 40:35 | 5 | 53 |
| 6 | Renate | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 43:31 | 12 | 53 |
| 7 | Alcione Milano | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 31:22 | 9 | 50 |
| 8 | Lumezzane | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 35:34 | 1 | 45 |
| 9 | Giana Erminio | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 45 |
| 10 | Novara | 33 | 8 | 20 | 5 | 35:29 | 6 | 44 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 43:43 | 0 | 43 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 42 |
| 13 | Pro Vercelli | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 42 |
| 14 | Arzignano | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 41:45 | -4 | 40 |
| 15 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 38 |
| 16 | Ospitaletto | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 17 | Pergolettese | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 30:44 | -14 | 33 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 33 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 30:50 | -20 | 22 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 33 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25:60 | -35 | 19 |
| 20 | Triestina ✔ | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
L.R. Vicenza is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
Triestina is Relegated to
