Triestina vs Novara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
15/02/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258, Sky Sport Calcio

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
39
Shots on target
24
Corner kicks
35
Yellow cards
41
Total shots
39
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
15
Corner kicks
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Tonetto M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Alberti T. , da Graca C. ,
  • 56', Faggioli A. , Kljajic N. ,
  • 59', Lanini E. , Morosini L. ,
  • 61', Morosini L. 🟨,
  • 68', Voca I. 🟨,
  • 70', 0 - 1, da Graca C. ,
  • 71', Ascione S. , Jamaal M. ,
  • 71', Anton A. , Kosijer S. ,
  • 77', Ledonne N. , Dell'Erba D. ,
  • 77', Jamaal M. 🟨,
  • 84', Davis H. , Vertainen E. ,
  • 85', Ranieri R. , Arboscello R. ,
  • 90+5', D'Amore F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Triestina
35.4%
Draw
32.3%
Novara
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 28.7% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 28.4% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Novara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Triestina - Novara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.67)
    2.84
    (3.19)
    2.84
    (2.46)
    9.1%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Triestina - Novara?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25 - Triestina (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Triestina will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Triestina will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Triestina (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Novara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Triestina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 3.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Triestina - Novara were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Novara - Triestina 0:0
    25.04.2025 Triestina - Novara 6:0
    14.12.2024 Novara - Triestina 2:3
    20.04.2024 Triestina - Novara 2:2
    17.12.2023 Novara - Triestina 2:3
    Latest results of Triestina
    11.02.2026 Renate - Triestina 4:0
    08.02.2026 Triestina - Inter U23 4:1
    23.01.2026 Triestina - Lumezzane 2:1
    17.01.2026 Ospitaletto - Triestina 1:0
    Latest results of Novara
    11.02.2026 Novara - AlbinoLeffe 2:2
    07.02.2026 Novara - Brescia 0:0
    01.02.2026 Pro Vercelli - Novara 1:0
    25.01.2026 Novara - Pro Patria 3:1
    17.01.2026 Trento - Novara 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

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    7CasertanaAtalanta U23
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