Result
2:2
27/07/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 2
- Referee: Ivkovic M. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 2.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (230/305) | 82% (354/431) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 2.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (230/305) | 82% (354/431) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (24/53) | 45% (21/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (64/99) | 73% (112/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 24% (7/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | -0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Marinkovic J. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Djekovic N. ⚽, Toseski M. (A),
- 28', Majdevac A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Hajdin S. ↓, Bogdanovski N. ↑,
- 46', Malekinusic M. ↓, Ljajic A. ↑,
- 46', Omoregbe B. ↓, Iyede S. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Petkovic M. ⚽,
- 52', Lutovac A. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 1, Djekovic N. ⚽, Toseski M. (A),
- 58', 2 - 2, Iyede S. ⚽,
- 67', Majdevac A. ↓, Zlicic L. ↑,
- 67', Petkovic M. ↓, Abdullahi A. ↑,
- 67', Krstic F. ↓, Miletic V. ↑,
- 70', Vukajlovic N. 🟨,
- 72', Marinkovic J. ↓, Bojat D. ↑,
- 76', Bubanj M. ↓, Laban L. ↑,
- 77', Bastajic N. ↓, Marinkovic N. ↑,
- 79', Davidovic I. ↓, Togbe S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Napredak Kruševac
37.4% | Draw
28.7% | Novi Pazar
33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napredak Kruševac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Novi Pazar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Napredak Kruševac - Novi Pazar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↓
(2.64) |
3.22 ↓
(3.32) |
2.73 ↑
(2.44) |
8.1%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Napredak Kruševac - Novi Pazar?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Napredak will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Novi Pazar will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napredak: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Napredak (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 2.
- Recent performances by Napredak have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Novi Pazar is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Napredak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Novi Pazar has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Napredak won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Napredak Kruševac won against Novi Pazar?
Napredak Kruševac has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Novi Pazar won against Napredak Kruševac?
Novi Pazar has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Napredak Kruševac - Novi Pazar were as follows:
03.03.2025
Novi Pazar
-
Napredak Kruševac
2:0
06.10.2024
Napredak Kruševac
-
Novi Pazar
2:1
25.02.2024
Napredak Kruševac
-
Novi Pazar
3:1
17.09.2023
Novi Pazar
-
Napredak Kruševac
2:1
18.02.2023
Napredak Kruševac
-
Novi Pazar
0:1
Latest results of Napredak Kruševac
Latest results of Novi Pazar
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 30:5 | 25 | 21 |
| 2 | Partizan | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25:10 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Cukaricki | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | OFK Beograd | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 13 |
| 7 | Radnicki 1923 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:15 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | TSC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Mladost | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | IMT Novi Beograd | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:19 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | Radnicki Nis | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Javor | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Radnik | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Napredak | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Sp. Subotica | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 6 |
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