Result
2:1
29/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 17
- Referee: Janjus P. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (319/406) | 70% (212/304) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (319/406) | 70% (212/304) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (13/48) | 29% (16/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (85/122) | 55% (36/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 41% (7/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | -1.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', Lutovac A. 🟨,
- 21', Petkovic M. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Stanisavljevic S. ⚽, Davidovic I. (A),
- 34', 2 - 0, Sadi D. ⚽, Malekinusic M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Laban L. ↓, Saric M. ↑,
- 63', Petkovic M. ↓, Alic S. ↑,
- 64', Miletic V. ↓, Hajdin S. ↑,
- 68', Mirosavic V. 🟨,
- 77', 2 - 1, Saric M. ⚽,
- 78', Krstic F. 🟨,
- 78', Togbe S. ↓, Opara E. ↑,
- 82', Bruncevic E. 🟨,
- 86', Vukajlovic N. ↓, Bubanj M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Novi Pazar
59.6% | Draw
24.1% | Napredak Kruševac
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Novi Pazar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Napredak Kruševac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Novi Pazar - Napredak Kruševac Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.55) |
3.83 ↓
(4) |
5.71 ↓
(6.25) |
8.4%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Novi Pazar - Napredak Kruševac?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Novi Pazar will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Napredak will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Novi Pazar (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 2.
- Novi Pazar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Napredak has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Novi Pazar is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novi Pazar won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Novi Pazar won against Napredak Kruševac?
Novi Pazar has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Napredak Kruševac won against Novi Pazar?
Napredak Kruševac has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Novi Pazar - Napredak Kruševac were as follows:
27.07.2025
Napredak Kruševac
-
Novi Pazar
2:2
03.03.2025
Novi Pazar
-
Napredak Kruševac
2:0
06.10.2024
Napredak Kruševac
-
Novi Pazar
2:1
25.02.2024
Napredak Kruševac
-
Novi Pazar
3:1
17.09.2023
Novi Pazar
-
Napredak Kruševac
2:1
Latest results of Novi Pazar
Latest results of Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 80:20 | 60 | 66 |
| 2 | Partizan ✔ | 27 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 58:36 | 22 | 56 |
| 3 | Vojvodina ✔ | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 48:26 | 22 | 55 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar ✔ | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo ✔ | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Radnik | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 33:32 | 1 | 35 |
| 7 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34:35 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Cukaricki | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | Radnicki Nis | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:35 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Radnicki 1923 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | IMT Novi Beograd | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:45 | -16 | 32 |
| 12 | TSC | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 23:31 | -8 | 30 |
| 13 | Javor | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 26:36 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Mladost | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 19:44 | -25 | 27 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica ✔ | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 21 |
| 16 | Napredak ✔ | 27 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 24:57 | -33 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Novi Pazar is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Zeleznicar Pancevo is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Sp. Subotica is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Napredak is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
