Result
2:1
15/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 23
- Referee: Markovic M. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (130/223) | 73% (260/358) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (130/223) | 73% (260/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (21/72) | 34% (20/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (43/87) | 48% (53/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.54 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Camaj D. ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, Hoard E. ⚽, Cvetkovic A. (A),
- 45+2', Backulja F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', 2 - 1, Stanisavljevic S. ⚽,
- 60', Stanisavljevic S. 🟨,
- 61', Kabic U. ↓, Silue D. Y. ↑,
- 61', Cvetkovic A. ↓, Markovic S. ↑,
- 73', Fall M. ↓, Rodic M. ↑,
- 73', Addo H. ↓, Lazic U. ↑,
- 74', Alilovic Z. ↓, Petkovic M. ↑,
- 76', Silue D. Y. 🟨,
- 77', Stanisavljevic S. ↓, Kotzebue V. ↑,
- 79', Rodic M. 🟨,
- 84', Camaj D. ↓, Bijelovic L. ↑,
- 89', Momcilovic M. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Novi Pazar
50.4% | Draw
26% | OFK Beograd
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Novi Pazar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Novi Pazar's performance.OFK Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Novi Pazar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFK Beograd than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Novi Pazar - OFK Beograd Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(2.15) |
3.55 ↑
(3.4) |
3.87 ↑
(3.4) |
8.7%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Novi Pazar - OFK Beograd?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Novi Pazar will win (votes: 2 - 50%). OFK will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - OFK (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. OFK (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 3.
- Novi Pazar is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, OFK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- OFK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, OFK has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Novi Pazar is a strong favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novi Pazar won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.2:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Novi Pazar won against OFK Beograd?
Novi Pazar has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has OFK Beograd won against Novi Pazar?
OFK Beograd has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Novi Pazar - OFK Beograd were as follows:
13.09.2025
OFK Beograd
-
Novi Pazar
0:2
25.05.2025
OFK Beograd
-
Novi Pazar
2:3
09.12.2024
OFK Beograd
-
Novi Pazar
1:1
03.08.2024
Novi Pazar
-
OFK Beograd
0:0
Latest results of Novi Pazar
Latest results of OFK Beograd
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 72:19 | 53 | 57 |
| 2 | Partizan ✔ | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 55:30 | 25 | 53 |
| 3 | Vojvodina ✔ | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 38 |
| 6 | Radnik | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 30:29 | 1 | 32 |
| 7 | Radnicki 1923 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Cukaricki | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 35:38 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 | Radnicki Nis | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 29 |
| 11 | TSC | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 22:27 | -5 | 29 |
| 12 | IMT Novi Beograd | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 27:43 | -16 | 28 |
| 13 | Mladost | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 18:34 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | Javor | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:34 | -10 | 26 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 27:45 | -18 | 17 |
| 16 | Napredak | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 21:50 | -29 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
