OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Serbian Superliga OFK Beograd - Novi Pazar
Result
2:3
25/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Liga - Championship Group - Round 37
  • Referee: Milanovic M. (Srb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.621.03
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
68% (187/273)81% (270/333)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.621.03
xG on target (xGOT)
0.481.29
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
21
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
2518
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1814
Passes
68% (187/273)81% (270/333)
Long passes
35% (19/55)45% (20/44)
Passes in final third
45% (49/108)75% (98/130)
Crosses
27% (6/22)41% (9/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.98
Throw-ins
1814
Fouls
1418
Tackles
74% (17/23)86% (6/7)
Duels won
6235
Clearances
1635
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.290.48
Goals prevented
-1.71-1.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Islamovic S. , Mesarovic A. (A),
  • 13', Jovanovic L. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Jovanovic L. , Diogo Bezerra (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 51', Avdic A. 🟨,
  • 58', 2 - 1, Vujadinovic N. , Diogo Bezerra (A),
  • 58', Adeshina A. , Kovacevic A. ,
  • 67', Stojilkovic F. , Scepovic S. ,
  • 69', Momcilovic M. 🟨,
  • 73', 2 - 2, Rubezic S. , Mesarovic A. (A),
  • 75', Momcilovic M. , Dembele I. ,
  • 85', Avdic A. 🟥,
  • 86', Jovanovic L. , Obradovic S. ,
  • 86', 2 - 3, Bojat D. , Ljajic A. (A),
  • 89', John Mary , Bruncevic E. ,
  • 90+7', Mesarovic A. , Vidakovic V. ,
  • 90+7', Miletic N. , Lakicevic I. ,
  • 90+8', Bruncevic E. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Ljajic A. 🟨,
  • 90+14', Vukicevic A. 🟨,
  • 90+16', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


OFK Beograd
31.2%
Draw
26.9%
Novi Pazar
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 27.7% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 28.2% 34.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • OFK Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that OFK Beograd's form might have worsened.
  • Novi Pazar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Novi Pazar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFK Beograd than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for OFK Beograd, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Novi Pazar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • OFK Beograd - Novi Pazar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (2.55)
    3.42
    (3.4)
    2.2
    (2.65)
    8.4%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for OFK Beograd - Novi Pazar?
  • Users Predictions: Novi Pazar will win (33 of 34 users predict this - 97.06%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 91.38%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Novi Pazar will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OFK won 0.
    • OFK is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Novi Pazar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • OFK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, OFK won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, OFK won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between OFK Beograd - Novi Pazar were as follows:
    09.12.2024 OFK Beograd - Novi Pazar 1:1
    03.08.2024 Novi Pazar - OFK Beograd 0:0
    Latest results of OFK Beograd
    Latest results of Novi Pazar
    Serbian Superliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crvena zvezda11004:043
    2Sp. Subotica11003:123
    3Vojvodina11002:023
    4TSC11002:113
    5Cukaricki11001:013
    6Partizan11001:013
    7Mladost10101:101
    8IMT Novi Beograd10101:101
    9Novi Pazar00000:000
    10Radnicki 192300000:000
    11Radnicki Nis10011:2-10
    12Napredak10010:1-10
    13Zeleznicar Pancevo10010:1-10
    14OFK Beograd10011:3-20
    15Radnik10010:2-20
    16Javor10010:4-40

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