Result
2:3
25/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Liga - Championship Group - Round 37
- Referee: Milanovic M. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (187/273) | 81% (270/333) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (187/273) | 81% (270/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (19/55) | 45% (20/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (49/108) | 75% (98/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 41% (9/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (17/23) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.71 | -1.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Islamovic S. ⚽, Mesarovic A. (A),
- 13', Jovanovic L. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 1, Jovanovic L. ⚽, Diogo Bezerra (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 51', Avdic A. 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 1, Vujadinovic N. ⚽, Diogo Bezerra (A),
- 58', Adeshina A. ↓, Kovacevic A. ↑,
- 67', Stojilkovic F. ↓, Scepovic S. ↑,
- 69', Momcilovic M. 🟨,
- 73', 2 - 2, Rubezic S. ⚽, Mesarovic A. (A),
- 75', Momcilovic M. ↓, Dembele I. ↑,
- 85', Avdic A. 🟥,
- 86', Jovanovic L. ↓, Obradovic S. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 3, Bojat D. ⚽, Ljajic A. (A),
- 89', John Mary ↓, Bruncevic E. ↑,
- 90+7', Mesarovic A. ↓, Vidakovic V. ↑,
- 90+7', Miletic N. ↓, Lakicevic I. ↑,
- 90+8', Bruncevic E. 🟨,
- 90+11', Ljajic A. 🟨,
- 90+14', Vukicevic A. 🟨,
- 90+16', 🟨,
Chances of winning
OFK Beograd
31.2% | Draw
26.9% | Novi Pazar
41.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
OFK Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that OFK Beograd's form might have worsened.Novi Pazar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Novi Pazar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFK Beograd than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for OFK Beograd, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Novi Pazar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
OFK Beograd - Novi Pazar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.55) |
3.42 ↑
(3.4) |
2.2 ↓
(2.65) |
8.4%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for OFK Beograd - Novi Pazar?
Users Predictions:
Novi Pazar will win
(33 of 34 users predict this - 97.06%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.38% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Novi Pazar will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OFK won 0.
- OFK is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Novi Pazar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- OFK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, OFK won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, OFK won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has OFK Beograd won against Novi Pazar?
OFK Beograd has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Novi Pazar won against OFK Beograd?
Novi Pazar has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between OFK Beograd - Novi Pazar were as follows:
09.12.2024
OFK Beograd
-
Novi Pazar
1:1
03.08.2024
Novi Pazar
-
OFK Beograd
0:0
Latest results of OFK Beograd
Latest results of Novi Pazar
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Partizan | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:6 | 13 | 16 |
| 2 | Crvena zvezda | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21:3 | 18 | 15 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Cukaricki | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | OFK Beograd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 7 | Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 | TSC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Napredak | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Mladost | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | IMT Novi Beograd | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 12 | Radnicki 1923 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Sp. Subotica | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | Radnicki Nis | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Javor | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Radnik | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
