Result
0:2
13/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 8
- Referee: Stojanovic A. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (272/355) | 71% (202/283) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (272/355) | 71% (202/283) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (16/48) | 43% (26/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (84/130) | 65% (74/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Despotovski S. ↓, Stojanovic U. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Lazic U. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
- 52', 0 - 1, Marinkovic J. ⚽, Bruncevic E. (A),
- 55', Kabic U. ↓, Addo H. ↑,
- 56', Scepovic S. ↓, Enem J. ↑,
- 64', Togbe S. ↓, Sieh E. ↑,
- 75', Petkovic M. ↓, Alic S. ↑,
- 75', Malekinusic M. ↓, Bijelovic L. ↑,
- 82', Bijelovic L. 🟨,
- 84', Knezevic N. ↓, Alba H. ↑,
- 86', Opara E. ↓, Omoregbe B. ↑,
- 90+1', 0 - 2, Omoregbe B. (Pen),
- 90+3', Pavlovic A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
OFK Beograd
43.4% | Draw
27.7% | Novi Pazar
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
OFK Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that OFK Beograd's form might have worsened.Novi Pazar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Novi Pazar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFK Beograd than the current prediction. (+11.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for OFK Beograd, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Novi Pazar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
OFK Beograd - Novi Pazar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(1.72) |
3.37 ↓
(3.55) |
3.23 ↓
(4.45) |
7.1%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for OFK Beograd - Novi Pazar?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. OFK will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Novi Pazar will win (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Novi Pazar (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OFK won 0.
- OFK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Novi Pazar has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Novi Pazar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- OFK might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, OFK won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, OFK won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has OFK Beograd won against Novi Pazar?
OFK Beograd has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Novi Pazar won against OFK Beograd?
Novi Pazar has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between OFK Beograd - Novi Pazar were as follows:
25.05.2025
OFK Beograd
-
Novi Pazar
2:3
09.12.2024
OFK Beograd
-
Novi Pazar
1:1
03.08.2024
Novi Pazar
-
OFK Beograd
0:0
Latest results of OFK Beograd
Latest results of Novi Pazar
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 30:5 | 25 | 21 |
| 2 | Partizan | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25:10 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Cukaricki | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | OFK Beograd | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 13 |
| 7 | Radnicki 1923 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:15 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | TSC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Mladost | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | IMT Novi Beograd | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:19 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | Radnicki Nis | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Javor | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Radnik | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Napredak | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Sp. Subotica | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
