Result
2:3
09/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 30
- Referee: Ilic P. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (314/399) | 79% (341/430) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 2.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (314/399) | 79% (341/430) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (31/72) | 42% (27/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (77/123) | 64% (65/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 67% (6/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.97 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.75 | 2.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Seck D. ⚽, Trifunovic N. (A),
- 13', Sadi D. 🟨,
- 19', Mirosavic V. 🟨,
- 38', Seck D. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Camaj D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kostic A. ↓, Polter S. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 2, Polter S. ⚽, Seck D. (A),
- 52', 2 - 2, Kotzebue V. ⚽, Sadi D. (A),
- 56', 2 - 3, Vukotic M. ⚽, Polter S. (A),
- 72', Alilovic Z. ↓, Petkovic M. ↑,
- 72', Omoregbe B. ↓, Alic S. ↑,
- 72', Roganovic M. ↓, Milovanovic M. ↑,
- 72', Vukotic M. ↓, Ugresic O. ↑,
- 76', Seck D. ↓, Ninic M. ↑,
- 82', Sadi D. ↓, Bijelovic L. ↑,
- 86', Kotzebue V. ↓, Rusevic A. ↑,
- 90+1', Zdjelar S. 🟨,
- 90+3', Trifunovic N. ↓, Stojkovic A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Novi Pazar
31.7% | Draw
27.9% | Partizan
40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Novi Pazar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Partizan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Partizan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Novi Pazar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Partizan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Novi Pazar - Partizan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↓
(3.3) |
3.28 ↓
(3.63) |
2.28 ↑
(1.95) |
8.8%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Novi Pazar - Partizan?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Novi Pazar will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Partizan will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- EH +1 - Novi Pazar (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Novi Pazar (1.61) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Partizan (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Novi Pazar (votes: 3 - 75%). Partizan (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )).
- Novi Pazar is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
- Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:42. (average 1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novi Pazar won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Novi Pazar won against Partizan?
Novi Pazar has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Partizan won against Novi Pazar?
Partizan has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Novi Pazar - Partizan were as follows:
09.11.2025
Partizan
-
Novi Pazar
2:0
04.05.2025
Novi Pazar
-
Partizan
2:1
08.03.2025
Partizan
-
Novi Pazar
3:2
21.10.2024
Novi Pazar
-
Partizan
3:4
07.04.2024
Partizan
-
Novi Pazar
2:0
Latest results of Novi Pazar
Latest results of Partizan
Serbian Superliga Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda | 30 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 87:23 | 64 | 75 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55:29 | 26 | 62 |
| 3 | Partizan | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 62:39 | 23 | 61 |
| 4 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 42:30 | 12 | 51 |
| 5 | Novi Pazar | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 47 |
| 6 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:39 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Cukaricki | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 42:43 | -1 | 40 |
| 8 | Radnik | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 37:35 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | IMT Novi Beograd | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 37 |
| 10 | Radnicki 1923 | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 36 |
| 11 | TSC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 26:35 | -9 | 34 |
| 12 | Javor | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 29:39 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Radnicki Nis | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:42 | -6 | 33 |
| 14 | Mladost | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 23:46 | -23 | 32 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Napredak | 30 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 26:65 | -39 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
