EC São José Porto Alegre vs Novo Hamburgo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Gaucho - Troféu Farroupilha - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.310.23
Ball possession
67%33%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
23
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
62
Passes
78% (284/363)64% (112/176)
Yellow cards
53
Expected goals (xG)
1.310.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.220.28
Total shots
178
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
84
Blocked shots
71
Shots inside the box
123
Shots outside the box
55
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
228
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1919
Passes
78% (284/363)64% (112/176)
Long passes
43% (21/49)45% (28/62)
Passes in final third
59% (62/105)49% (27/55)
Crosses
30% (8/27)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.21
Throw ins
2118
Fouls
1919
Tackles
77% (17/22)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5152
Clearances
1940
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.280.22
Goals prevented
-1.72-0.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Pedrinho 🟨,
  • 36', Eduardo Melo 🟨,
  • 44', Romercio 🟨,
  • 45+2', Tiago Pedra 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Ivo , Caua ,
  • 48', 0 - 1, Leandro Moura ,
  • 52', Carlos Maia 🟨,
  • 60', Carlos Maia , Vinicius Kiss ,
  • 60', Eduardo Melo , Gabriel Lima ,
  • 61', William 🟨,
  • 68', Luam Parede , Henrique ,
  • 70', Andrey Nunes , Gustavo Lino ,
  • 70', Angelo , Raphael Soares ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Gabriel Lima ,
  • 79', Leandro Moura , Allison ,
  • 83', Keverton 🟨,
  • 84', William , Douglas Oliveira ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Henrique ,
  • 90+5', Henrique 🟨,

Chances of winning


EC São José Porto Alegre
42.9%
Draw
30.4%
Novo Hamburgo
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 30.2% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 32.1% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Novo Hamburgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novo Hamburgo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • EC São José Porto Alegre - Novo Hamburgo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.03)
    3
    (3)
    3.42
    (3.58)
    9.9%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 2-3. Second leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EC São José won 3.
    • EC São José is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Hamburgo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • EC São José may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • EC São José might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, EC São José won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, EC São José won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1.4:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between EC São José Porto Alegre - Novo Hamburgo were as follows:
    14.02.2026 Novo Hamburgo - EC São José Porto Alegre 3:2
    17.01.2026 Novo Hamburgo - EC São José Porto Alegre 0:0
    26.02.2024 EC São José Porto Alegre - Novo Hamburgo 3:0
    11.03.2023 Novo Hamburgo - EC São José Porto Alegre 1:2
    Latest results of EC São José Porto Alegre
    Latest results of Novo Hamburgo
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1InternacionalSao Luiz3 : 1
    2SER CaxiasYpiranga FC0 : 2
    3JuventudeEC Sao Jose3 : 2
    4GremioNovo Hamburgo1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1InternacionalYpiranga FC4 : 0, 3 : 0
    2JuventudeGremio1 : 2, 1 : 1

    Final
    1InternacionalGremio0 : 3