Result
2:3
15/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 14
- Referee: Gilabert F. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 75% | 25% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (415/502) | 60% (104/173) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (415/502) | 60% (104/173) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (48/76) | 27% (14/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (121/174) | 50% (34/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (14/38) | 60% (3/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 81% (17/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 60 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.29 | -0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Fuentes M. ⚽, Valencia Rossel L. (A),
- 10', 0 - 2, Palacios L. ⚽, Fuentes M. (A),
- 17', Valencia Rossel L. 🟨,
- 26', Fuentes M. ↓, Troyansky F. ↑,
- 28', Plaza M. 🟨,
- 32', Rojas Munoz O. J. 🟨,
- 39', Labrin C. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 2, Sosa G. (Pen),
- 45+4', Guiffrey G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Molina L. ↓, Graciani G. ↑,
- 53', Cerezo B. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 3, Valencia Rossel L. (Pen),
- 67', Sosa G. ↓, Rubio P. ↑,
- 74', Troyansky F. ↓, Guajardo P. ↑,
- 74', Guiffrey G. ↓, Pina D. ↑,
- 74', Matus E. ↓, Sandoval Molina M. ↑,
- 76', Rodriguez M. ↓, Sanchez P. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 3, Mateos F. ⚽, Cerezo B. (A),
- 87', Palacios L. ↓, Gil Romero G. ↑,
- 90+4', Campusano J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Collao M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ñublense
43.4% | Draw
28.2% | Audax Italiano
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ñublense's performance.Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Ñublense - Audax Italiano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.5) |
3.31 ↑
(3.21) |
3.27 ↑
(2.81) |
6.8%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ñublense - Audax Italiano?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Audax Italiano will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ñublense: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ñublense (votes: 1 - 50%). Audax Italiano (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 2.
- Ñublense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Audax Italiano is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Ñublense has had a series of away games.
- Ñublense could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Audax Italiano?
Ñublense has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Audax Italiano won against Ñublense?
Audax Italiano has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Audax Italiano were as follows:
04.08.2024
Audax Italiano
-
Ñublense
0:1
02.03.2024
Ñublense
-
Audax Italiano
1:2
08.10.2023
Audax Italiano
-
Ñublense
1:0
21.07.2023
Audax Italiano
-
Ñublense
0:1
13.07.2023
Ñublense
-
Audax Italiano
0:0
Latest results of Ñublense
Latest results of Audax Italiano
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 33:11 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 44:21 | 23 | 38 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 33:27 | 6 | 37 |
| 4 | Palestino | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 36 |
| 5 | O'Higgins | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 24:23 | 1 | 35 |
| 6 | U. Catolica | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31:21 | 10 | 33 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Huachipato | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 31 |
| 9 | Colo Colo | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 28 |
| 10 | Nublense | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 17:22 | -5 | 23 |
| 12 | Everton | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 21:30 | -9 | 19 |
| 13 | La Serena | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 19 |
| 14 | Limache | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19:39 | -20 | 14 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21:42 | -21 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
