Result
2:3
15/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 14
- Referee: Gilabert F. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.76 | 1.55 |
Ball Possession |
---|
75% | 25% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
83% (415/502) | 60% (104/173) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.76 | 1.55 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.05 | 1.71 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
35 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
83% (415/502) | 60% (104/173) |
Long passes |
---|
63% (48/76) | 27% (14/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (121/174) | 50% (34/68) |
Crosses |
---|
37% (14/38) | 60% (3/5) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.32 | 0.54 |
Throw-ins |
---|
32 | 13 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (16/20) | 81% (17/21) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 63 |
Clearances |
---|
8 | 60 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 18 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.71 | 1.05 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.29 | -0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Fuentes M. ⚽, Valencia Rossel L. (A),
- 10', 0 - 2, Palacios L. ⚽, Fuentes M. (A),
- 17', Valencia Rossel L. 🟨,
- 26', Fuentes M. ↓, Troyansky F. ↑,
- 28', Plaza M. 🟨,
- 32', Rojas Munoz O. J. 🟨,
- 39', Labrin C. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 2, Sosa G. (Pen),
- 45+4', Guiffrey G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Molina L. ↓, Graciani G. ↑,
- 53', Cerezo B. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 3, Valencia Rossel L. (Pen),
- 67', Sosa G. ↓, Rubio P. ↑,
- 74', Troyansky F. ↓, Guajardo P. ↑,
- 74', Guiffrey G. ↓, Pina D. ↑,
- 74', Matus E. ↓, Sandoval Molina M. ↑,
- 76', Rodriguez M. ↓, Sanchez P. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 3, Mateos F. ⚽, Cerezo B. (A),
- 87', Palacios L. ↓, Gil Romero G. ↑,
- 90+4', Campusano J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Collao M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ñublense 43.4% | Draw 28.2% | Audax Italiano 28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ñublense's performance.Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Ñublense - Audax Italiano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.18 ↓ (2.5) |
3.31 ↑ (3.21) |
3.27 ↑ (2.81) |
6.8% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ñublense - Audax Italiano?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Audax Italiano will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ñublense: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ñublense (votes: 1 - 50%). Audax Italiano (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 2.
- Ñublense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Audax Italiano is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Ñublense has had a series of away games.
- Ñublense could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Audax Italiano?
Ñublense has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Audax Italiano won against Ñublense?
Audax Italiano has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Audax Italiano were as follows:
04.08.2024
Audax Italiano
-
Ñublense
0:1
02.03.2024
Ñublense
-
Audax Italiano
1:2
08.10.2023
Audax Italiano
-
Ñublense
1:0
21.07.2023
Audax Italiano
-
Ñublense
0:1
13.07.2023
Ñublense
-
Audax Italiano
0:0
Latest results of Ñublense
Latest results of Audax Italiano
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coquimbo | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 19 | 41 |
2 | U. De Chile | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 39:16 | 23 | 35 |
3 | A. Italiano | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 34 |
4 | Palestino | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 32 |
5 | O'Higgins | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 30 |
6 | U. Catolica | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 27 |
7 | Colo Colo | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29:21 | 8 | 26 |
8 | Cobresal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
9 | Nublense | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
10 | Union La Calera | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 22 |
11 | Huachipato | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 25:30 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Everton | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 18 |
13 | La Serena | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 17 |
14 | Limache | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18:26 | -8 | 14 |
15 | U. Espanola | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 16:31 | -15 | 13 |
16 | Deportes Iquique | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19:38 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso