Ñublense vs Audax Italiano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Primera Division Ñublense - Audax Italiano
Result
2:3
15/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Primera - Round 14
  • Referee: Gilabert F. (Chi)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.761.55
Ball Possession
75%25%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
83% (415/502)60% (104/173)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.761.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.051.71
Total shots
157
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
3513
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
83% (415/502)60% (104/173)
Long passes
63% (48/76)27% (14/51)
Passes in final third
70% (121/174)50% (34/68)
Crosses
37% (14/38)60% (3/5)
Expected assists (xA)
2.320.54
Throw-ins
3213
Fouls
1213
Tackles
80% (16/20)81% (17/21)
Duels won
5363
Clearances
860
Interceptions
418
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
1.711.05
Goals prevented
-1.29-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Fuentes M. , Valencia Rossel L. (A),
  • 10', 0 - 2, Palacios L. , Fuentes M. (A),
  • 17', Valencia Rossel L. 🟨,
  • 26', Fuentes M. , Troyansky F. ,
  • 28', Plaza M. 🟨,
  • 32', Rojas Munoz O. J. 🟨,
  • 39', Labrin C. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 2, Sosa G. (Pen),
  • 45+4', Guiffrey G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Molina L. , Graciani G. ,
  • 53', Cerezo B. 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 3, Valencia Rossel L. (Pen),
  • 67', Sosa G. , Rubio P. ,
  • 74', Troyansky F. , Guajardo P. ,
  • 74', Guiffrey G. , Pina D. ,
  • 74', Matus E. , Sandoval Molina M. ,
  • 76', Rodriguez M. , Sanchez P. ,
  • 84', 2 - 3, Mateos F. , Cerezo B. (A),
  • 87', Palacios L. , Gil Romero G. ,
  • 90+4', Campusano J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Collao M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ñublense
43.4%
Draw
28.2%
Audax Italiano
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 29.2% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 29.9% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ñublense's performance.
  • Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Ñublense - Audax Italiano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.5)
    3.31
    (3.21)
    3.27
    (2.81)
    6.8%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ñublense - Audax Italiano?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Audax Italiano will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ñublense: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ñublense (votes: 1 - 50%). Audax Italiano (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 2.
    • Ñublense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Audax Italiano is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Ñublense has had a series of away games.
    • Ñublense could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Audax Italiano were as follows:
    04.08.2024 Audax Italiano - Ñublense 0:1
    02.03.2024 Ñublense - Audax Italiano 1:2
    08.10.2023 Audax Italiano - Ñublense 1:0
    21.07.2023 Audax Italiano - Ñublense 0:1
    13.07.2023 Ñublense - Audax Italiano 0:0
    Latest results of Ñublense
    31.05.2025 Huachipato - Ñublense 0:1
    25.05.2025 Ñublense - OHiggins 0:1
    19.05.2025 Colo-Colo - Ñublense 2:2
    10.05.2025 Curicó Unido - Ñublense 2:1
    Latest results of Audax Italiano
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo18125128:91941
    2U. De Chile17112439:162335
    3A. Italiano18104430:21934
    4Palestino1795324:15932
    5O'Higgins1886418:18030
    6U. Catolica1876525:20527
    7Colo Colo1875629:21826
    8Cobresal1675421:18326
    9Nublense1858518:24-623
    10Union La Calera1864816:19-322
    11Huachipato1864825:30-522
    12Everton1846819:27-818
    13La Serena18521120:32-1217
    14Limache18351018:26-814
    15U. Espanola18411316:31-1513
    16Deportes Iquique18241219:38-1910

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso