Result
2:2
19/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 11
- Referee: Philippe G. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (351/419) | 66% (174/263) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (351/419) | 66% (174/263) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (31/56) | 41% (24/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (101/142) | 54% (45/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', Isla M. 🟨,
- 7', 0 - 1, Sosa G. (Pen),
- 17', 0 - 2, Plaza M. ⚽, Sosa G. (A),
- 19', Zavala C. 🟨,
- 21', Correa J. 🟨,
- 22', Graciani G. 🟨,
- 42', Valencia E. 🟨,
- 45+5', 1 - 2, Aquino C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Pavez E. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
- 46', Isla M. ↓, Pizarro V. ↑,
- 58', Perez N. 🟨,
- 67', Graciani G. ↓, Calderon P. ↑,
- 67', Rubio P. ↓, Sanchez P. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 2, Correa J. ⚽,
- 74', Vidal A. ↓, Alarcon T. ↑,
- 77', Saldivia A. ↓, Villagra J. ↑,
- 77', Zavala C. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 77', Campusano G. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 77', Plaza M. ↓, Rozas I. ↑,
- 84', Alarcon T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Colo-Colo
62.2% | Draw
22.9% | Ñublense
14.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Colo-Colo - Ñublense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↑
(1.49) |
4.16 ↓
(4.34) |
6.27 ↓
(6.29) |
6.1%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Colo-Colo - Ñublense?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Colo-Colo will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colo-Colo: 68.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Colo-Colo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 2.
- Colo-Colo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Ñublense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Colo-Colo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Colo-Colo has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Colo-Colo is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Colo-Colo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Colo-Colo won against Ñublense?
Colo-Colo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Colo-Colo?
Ñublense has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colo-Colo - Ñublense were as follows:
29.08.2024
Colo-Colo
-
Ñublense
2:1
06.04.2024
Ñublense
-
Colo-Colo
3:0
25.07.2023
Ñublense
-
Colo-Colo
0:0
13.02.2023
Colo-Colo
-
Ñublense
1:0
06.11.2022
Ñublense
-
Colo-Colo
1:1
Latest results of Colo-Colo
Latest results of Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 23:8 | 15 | 35 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 35:16 | 19 | 32 |
| 4 | Palestino | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | O'Higgins | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 26 |
| 7 | Colo Colo | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:18 | 8 | 24 |
| 8 | Cobresal | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 23 |
| 9 | Union La Calera | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:14 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Huachipato | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 | Nublense | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 16:24 | -8 | 17 |
| 12 | La Serena | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 17 |
| 13 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:25 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Limache | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 15:30 | -15 | 10 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16:36 | -20 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
