Result
2:2
19/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 11
- Referee: Philippe G. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.56 | 1.48 |
Ball Possession |
---|
62% | 38% |
Total shots |
---|
22 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
84% (351/419) | 66% (174/263) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.56 | 1.48 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.50 | 1.54 |
Total shots |
---|
22 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
11 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
12 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
84% (351/419) | 66% (174/263) |
Long passes |
---|
55% (31/56) | 41% (24/59) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (101/142) | 54% (45/83) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (6/25) | 36% (5/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.13 | 0.36 |
Throw-ins |
---|
29 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
5 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
73% (11/15) | 79% (15/19) |
Duels won |
---|
67 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
39 | 31 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.54 | 1.50 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.46 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', Isla M. 🟨,
- 7', 0 - 1, Sosa G. (Pen),
- 17', 0 - 2, Plaza M. ⚽, Sosa G. (A),
- 19', Zavala C. 🟨,
- 21', Correa J. 🟨,
- 22', Graciani G. 🟨,
- 42', Valencia E. 🟨,
- 45+5', 1 - 2, Aquino C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Pavez E. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
- 46', Isla M. ↓, Pizarro V. ↑,
- 58', Perez N. 🟨,
- 67', Graciani G. ↓, Calderon P. ↑,
- 67', Rubio P. ↓, Sanchez P. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 2, Correa J. ⚽,
- 74', Vidal A. ↓, Alarcon T. ↑,
- 77', Saldivia A. ↓, Villagra J. ↑,
- 77', Zavala C. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 77', Campusano G. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 77', Plaza M. ↓, Rozas I. ↑,
- 84', Alarcon T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Colo-Colo 62.2% | Draw 22.9% | Ñublense 14.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Colo-Colo - Ñublense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↑ (1.49) |
4.16 ↓ (4.34) |
6.27 ↓ (6.29) |
6.1% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Colo-Colo - Ñublense?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Colo-Colo will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colo-Colo: 68.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Colo-Colo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 2.
- Colo-Colo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Ñublense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Colo-Colo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Colo-Colo has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Colo-Colo is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Colo-Colo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Colo-Colo won against Ñublense?
Colo-Colo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Colo-Colo?
Ñublense has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colo-Colo - Ñublense were as follows:
29.08.2024
Colo-Colo
-
Ñublense
2:1
06.04.2024
Ñublense
-
Colo-Colo
3:0
25.07.2023
Ñublense
-
Colo-Colo
0:0
13.02.2023
Colo-Colo
-
Ñublense
1:0
06.11.2022
Ñublense
-
Colo-Colo
1:1
Latest results of Colo-Colo
Latest results of Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coquimbo | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 23:8 | 15 | 35 |
2 | A. Italiano | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 33 |
3 | U. De Chile | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 35:16 | 19 | 32 |
4 | Palestino | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 28 |
5 | U. Catolica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | O'Higgins | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 26 |
7 | Colo Colo | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:18 | 8 | 24 |
8 | Cobresal | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 23 |
9 | Union La Calera | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:14 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Huachipato | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Nublense | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 16:24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | La Serena | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 17 |
13 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:25 | -10 | 15 |
14 | Limache | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
15 | U. Espanola | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 15:30 | -15 | 10 |
16 | Deportes Iquique | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16:36 | -20 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso