Estudiantes de Caseros vs Nueva Chicago – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Estudiantes de Caseros - Nueva Chicago
Result
2:0
05/09/2025 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, TyC Sports Play
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDSports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDSports 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
97
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Acosta M. , Correa J. (A),
  • 27', Maggi I. 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 0, Squie T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rodriguez I. , Molinas I. A. ,
  • 52', Correa J. 🟨,
  • 54', Motroni J. 🟨,
  • 54', Molinas I. A. 🟨,
  • 59', Correa J. , Brinone S. ,
  • 66', Squie T. , Rostagno D. ,
  • 66', Quinteros F. , Bernardi B. ,
  • 81', Cortes F. , Martinez A. ,
  • 81', Caceres F. , Acosta E. ,
  • 81', Acosta M. , Benitez A. ,
  • 84', Cortes B. , Nouet F. ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 84', Brinone S. 🟨,
  • 85', Rodriguez J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Estudiantes de Caseros
56.4%
Draw
28.3%
Nueva Chicago
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 30.7% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 30.4% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Caseros's performance.
  • Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nueva Chicago might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Caseros that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nueva Chicago could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Estudiantes de Caseros - Nueva Chicago Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.88)
    3.25
    (2.98)
    5.99
    (4.42)
    7.3%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Caseros - Nueva Chicago?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. CA Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).
    • CA Estudiantes is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nueva Chicago's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, CA Estudiantes is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, CA Estudiantes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Caseros - Nueva Chicago were as follows:
    05.05.2025 Nueva Chicago - Estudiantes de Caseros 2:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Deportivo MadrynBye
    2Gimnasia JujuySan Miguel0 : 0
    3Atletico AtlantaChaco For Ever3 : 0
    4Deportivo MoronSan Martin T.0 : 0
    5Estudiantes Rio CuartoPatronato2 : 1
    6Gimnasia y TiroTemperley2 : 0
    7CA EstudiantesDeportivo Maipu1 : 0
    8Tristan SuarezAgropecuario2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Deportivo MadrynGimnasia Jujuy0 : 1
    2Atletico AtlantaDeportivo Moron0 : 1
    3Estudiantes Rio CuartoGimnasia y Tiro0 : 0
    4CA EstudiantesTristan Suarez