Estudiantes de Caseros vs Nueva Chicago – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
05/09/2025 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, TyC Sports Play
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDSports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDSports 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
97
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Acosta M. , Correa J. (A),
  • 27', Maggi I. 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 0, Squie T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rodriguez I. , Molinas I. A. ,
  • 52', Correa J. 🟨,
  • 54', Motroni J. 🟨,
  • 54', Molinas I. A. 🟨,
  • 59', Correa J. , Brinone S. ,
  • 66', Squie T. , Rostagno D. ,
  • 66', Quinteros F. , Bernardi B. ,
  • 81', Cortes F. , Martinez A. ,
  • 81', Caceres F. , Acosta E. ,
  • 81', Acosta M. , Benitez A. ,
  • 84', Cortes B. , Nouet F. ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 84', Brinone S. 🟨,
  • 85', Rodriguez J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Estudiantes de Caseros
56.4%
Draw
28.3%
Nueva Chicago
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 30.7% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 30.4% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Caseros's performance.
  • Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nueva Chicago might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Caseros that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nueva Chicago could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Estudiantes de Caseros - Nueva Chicago Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.88)
    3.25
    (2.98)
    5.99
    (4.42)
    7.3%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Caseros - Nueva Chicago?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. CA Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - CA Estudiantes (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - CA Estudiantes (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. CA Estudiantes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).
    • CA Estudiantes is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nueva Chicago's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, CA Estudiantes is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, CA Estudiantes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Caseros - Nueva Chicago were as follows:
    05.05.2025 Nueva Chicago - Estudiantes de Caseros 2:1
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron742111:6514
    2Colon Santa Fe742110:5514
    3Def. de Belgrano73408:3513
    4Godoy Cruz73408:4413
    5Racing Cordoba73225:7-211
    6Deportivo Madryn72329:639
    7Los Andes72325:329
    8Ciudad Bolivar71605:329
    9Ferro72326:609
    10All Boys72324:409
    11Acassuso73048:9-19
    12San Miguel72326:7-19
    13Almirante Brown72234:6-28
    14Central Norte72232:4-28
    15CA Mitre71426:8-27
    16CA Estudiantes72054:8-46
    17San Telmo71248:13-55
    18Chaco For Ever70256:14-82


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tristan Suarez74309:2715
    2Gimnasia Jujuy750210:9115
    3Nueva Chicago74218:4414
    4Midland73316:3312
    5Temperley73314:2212
    6San Martin T72508:5311
    7Gimnasia y Tiro73228:7111
    8Atl. Rafaela73226:5111
    9Quilmes73138:4410
    10Club A. Guemes72329:909
    11Almagro72234:5-18
    12Agropecuario72235:7-28
    13San Martin S.J71426:7-17
    14Atletico Atlanta72146:7-17
    15Colegiales72144:8-47
    16Chacarita Juniors71246:11-55
    17Patronato71243:9-65
    18Deportivo Maipu71157:12-54

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation