Estudiantes de Caseros vs Nueva Chicago – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
05/09/2025 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, TyC Sports Play
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDSports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDSports 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
97
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Acosta M. , Correa J. (A),
  • 27', Maggi I. 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 0, Squie T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rodriguez I. , Molinas I. A. ,
  • 52', Correa J. 🟨,
  • 54', Motroni J. 🟨,
  • 54', Molinas I. A. 🟨,
  • 59', Correa J. , Brinone S. ,
  • 66', Squie T. , Rostagno D. ,
  • 66', Quinteros F. , Bernardi B. ,
  • 81', Cortes F. , Martinez A. ,
  • 81', Caceres F. , Acosta E. ,
  • 81', Acosta M. , Benitez A. ,
  • 84', Cortes B. , Nouet F. ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 84', Brinone S. 🟨,
  • 85', Rodriguez J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Estudiantes de Caseros
56.4%
Draw
28.3%
Nueva Chicago
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 30.7% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 30.4% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Caseros's performance.
  • Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nueva Chicago might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Caseros that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nueva Chicago could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Estudiantes de Caseros - Nueva Chicago Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.88)
    3.25
    (2.98)
    5.99
    (4.42)
    7.3%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Caseros - Nueva Chicago?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. CA Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - CA Estudiantes (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - CA Estudiantes (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. CA Estudiantes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).
    • CA Estudiantes is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nueva Chicago's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, CA Estudiantes is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, CA Estudiantes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Caseros - Nueva Chicago were as follows:
    05.05.2025 Nueva Chicago - Estudiantes de Caseros 2:1
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Acassuso43018:359
    2Deportivo Moron42207:438
    3Def. de Belgrano42205:238
    4San Miguel42205:238
    5Colon Santa Fe42204:228
    6Almirante Brown42114:317
    7All Boys42114:317
    8Racing Cordoba42113:4-17
    9Godoy Cruz41304:316
    10Ferro41215:415
    11CA Mitre41213:305
    12Ciudad Bolivar40403:304
    13Los Andes40311:2-13
    14Deportivo Madryn40222:4-22
    15San Telmo40225:8-32
    16Central Norte40220:3-32
    17Chaco For Ever40134:9-51
    18CA Estudiantes40040:5-50


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia y Tiro43106:2410
    2Gimnasia Jujuy43016:519
    3San Martin T42205:238
    4Atletico Atlanta42114:227
    5Nueva Chicago42113:217
    6Atl. Rafaela42113:217
    7Tristan Suarez41303:216
    8Agropecuario42024:406
    9Midland41214:315
    10Temperley41211:105
    11Quilmes41123:214
    12Chacarita Juniors41125:6-14
    13San Martin S.J41124:5-14
    14Club A. Guemes41124:5-14
    15Deportivo Maipu41126:8-24
    16Colegiales41033:6-33
    17Almagro40221:4-32
    18Patronato40221:5-42

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation