Estudiantes de Caseros vs Nueva Chicago – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
05/09/2025 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, TyC Sports Play
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDSports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDSports 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
97
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Acosta M. , Correa J. (A),
  • 27', Maggi I. 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 0, Squie T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rodriguez I. , Molinas I. A. ,
  • 52', Correa J. 🟨,
  • 54', Motroni J. 🟨,
  • 54', Molinas I. A. 🟨,
  • 59', Correa J. , Brinone S. ,
  • 66', Squie T. , Rostagno D. ,
  • 66', Quinteros F. , Bernardi B. ,
  • 81', Cortes F. , Martinez A. ,
  • 81', Caceres F. , Acosta E. ,
  • 81', Acosta M. , Benitez A. ,
  • 84', Cortes B. , Nouet F. ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 84', Brinone S. 🟨,
  • 85', Rodriguez J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Estudiantes de Caseros
56.4%
Draw
28.3%
Nueva Chicago
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 30.7% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 30.4% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Caseros's performance.
  • Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nueva Chicago might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Caseros that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nueva Chicago could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Estudiantes de Caseros - Nueva Chicago Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.88)
    3.25
    (2.98)
    5.99
    (4.42)
    7.3%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Caseros - Nueva Chicago?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. CA Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.75 - CA Estudiantes (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - CA Estudiantes (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. CA Estudiantes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).
    • CA Estudiantes is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nueva Chicago's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, CA Estudiantes is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, CA Estudiantes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Caseros - Nueva Chicago were as follows:
    05.05.2025 Nueva Chicago - Estudiantes de Caseros 2:1
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron1062216:9720
    2Colon Santa Fe1053211:7418
    3Los Andes104428:3516
    4Ciudad Bolivar103707:3416
    5Deportivo Madryn1043313:9415
    6Godoy Cruz103618:6215
    7Def. de Belgrano103529:8114
    8Racing Cordoba104249:10-114
    9Almirante Brown104247:8-114
    10San Miguel103438:10-213
    11CA Estudiantes104156:8-213
    12Ferro103347:8-112
    13San Telmo1033411:13-212
    14Acassuso103168:11-310
    15All Boys102444:7-310
    16CA Mitre101638:11-39
    17Central Norte102353:7-49
    18Chaco For Ever101459:15-67


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy1071218:11722
    2Tristan Suarez1055011:3820
    3Nueva Chicago1045110:6417
    4Atl. Rafaela1044210:6416
    5Atletico Atlanta1051411:8316
    6San Martin T1036110:7315
    7Temperley103618:6215
    8Midland103438:7113
    9San Martin S.J103439:9013
    10Quilmes1033411:8312
    11Gimnasia y Tiro1033410:12-212
    12Deportivo Maipu1032511:13-211
    13Chacarita Juniors103259:12-311
    14Agropecuario103259:13-411
    15Club A. Guemes1024410:14-410
    16Patronato102444:9-510
    17Colegiales102356:12-69
    18Almagro102265:13-88

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation